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Structural Limits of OHLCV-Based Intraday Momentum Signals in MNQ Futures: A Systematic Falsification Study

Mesfin, Mathias
arXiv (All) · Papers
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computational-financestatistical-financetrading-and-market-microstructure
This paper tests whether common intraday momentum signals built from OHLCV data generate a tradable edge in Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 (MNQ) futures after realistic execution costs. Fourteen signal families were evaluated on 947 trading days of five-minute data from 2021-2025 under expanding-window wal
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