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Precursors, Pathways, and State-Dependent Reliability of Long-range ENSO Prediction in the CESM2 Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble
Understanding the sources of ENSO prediction skill and error is essential for improving long-range climate prediction. Here we examine ENSO precursors in CESM2 Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble (SMYLE) hindcasts initialized in February and August during 1970-2019, using ensemble sensitivity analy
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