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Nonlinear Drivers of Macroeconomic Tail Risk: A Threshold Stochastic Volatility-in-Mean VAR with Regime-Dependent Leverage
The tails of macroeconomic outcomes can respond differently from the centre of their distribution: shocks with modest effects on median growth or inflation can shift downside growth or upside inflation risk. We develop a threshold stochastic-volatility-in-mean VAR with regime-dependent leverage to s
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