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Loss Choice or Model Choice? The Role of Forecast Level in Cryptocurrency Volatility Forecasting

Tokajuk, Andrzej et al.
arXiv (All) · Papers
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and-scienceartificial-intelligencecomputational-engineeringcomputational-financefinancerisk-management
Volatility forecasts play a central role in financial risk management because their overall level and day-to-day movements affect downstream decisions. Most studies compare forecasting models while keeping the training loss fixed. Yet losses emphasise different errors and can target different proper
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