arXiv (All)
open access
Downside-Controlled Online Forecast Combination under Delayed and Revised Outcomes
Post-hoc correction adjusts a forecaster that cannot be retrained, such as a foundation model, but a correction fitted where errors are stable can hurt where they shift. We aim for downside control: not much worse than the starting forecast. We combine the frozen forecaster, a static corrector and a
Conceptio Open Archive
Analyze & explore related research in Conceptio
Connect this record directly into your research workflow or AI agent. Explore citations across open repositories, query full text, and export structured proof bundles.
This document is indexed with metadata only: full text is not available in the archive for this record. Open the official source ↗
Related documents
- Time-Series Foundation Models That Understand Data Revisions#1076232
- How Model Choice Obscures Forecast Uncertainty: The Rashomon Effect and the 2026 Senate#390042
- Correct then Forecast: Observer State-Space Models for Time Series Forecasting#1118278
- When the Martingale Never Stops Firing: Anytime-Valid Gating on Real Forecast Streams#799697
- Prior-Agnostic Robust Forecast Aggregation#138936
Record · ID 1077025
Retrieved via Conceptio: every document is proof-bundled with source, license, and retrieval metadata.
Retrieved via Conceptio: every document is proof-bundled with source, license, and retrieval metadata.
Bring this data into your agent: Connect via MCP or API · 20 free credits to start · no card required
Read the Docs → · View CLI source on GitHub · Conceptio Open Knowledge Archive
Read the Docs → · View CLI source on GitHub · Conceptio Open Knowledge Archive