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Public Opinion as an Option: Leveraging Prediction Markets to Hedge Exposure to Spot Crypto Volatility

Bhaskara, Prashanth et al.
arXiv (OAI Expanded) · Papers
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This paper proposes an investment strategy through resource allocation into Kalshi Crypto Event Contracts in order to effectively hedge exposure to spot asset volatility. Using Bitcoin as a proof of concept, we treat corresponding Kalshi markets on the asset's future price as option contracts, and t
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