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What Does a Routing Oracle Measure Under Stochastic Decoding? Coupling, Scorer Choice, and Single-Commit Ceilings
Routing benchmarks often compare a policy that commits to one model before seeing its response with a hindsight oracle that credits any correct recorded output. Under stochastic decoding these are different decision classes. For success marginals $p_{im}$ under a frozen query--model--decoder--scorer
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