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Valid and Efficient Split Conformal Regression for Time Series

Zhai, Percy S. et al.
arXiv (All) · Papers
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machine-learningstatistics-theory
We study conformalized quantile regression and conformalized median regression that fit a model on one block of a time series and calibrate the conformal interval on the adjacent block. The existing theory of conformal prediction for time series rests largely on mixing conditions, which are hard to
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