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Multi-season evaluation and analysis of categorical trend forecasts of influenza hospital admissions in the United States

Davis, J. T. et al.
bioRxiv / medRxiv · Papers · License: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0
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epidemiology
Forecasting influenza hospitalizations informs public health preparedness, yet questions remain about which types of forecasts best guide action. We evaluate categorical trend forecasts, which communicate probabilities of upcoming increases or decreases in epidemic trajectories, submitted to CDCs Fl
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