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Outcome Determination and Settlement Finality on Kalshi: Public State Paths, Prospective Measurement, and Empirical Identification

Nechepurenko, Maksym
arXiv (All) · Papers
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Event-contract settlement is a state path rather than a universal timestamp. Using a registered seven-day enrollment and seven-day administrative follow-up on Kalshi, this paper distinguishes market-object membership, lifecycle messages, endpoint states, and observation gaps. The MVE layer contains
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