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Market Calibration Dataset: de-vigged betting probabilities versus real outcomes, 36,476 observations (with the working paper)
Both sides of 18,238 settled two-outcome fixed-odds betting markets (36,476 observations) across five sports, November 2024 to July 2026. Each row is a margin-free (de-vigged) market probability and whether the outcome happened: event_month, sport, market_family, market_implied_probabil
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