SocArXiv
metadata only
Do polls underestimate support for right-wing parties? Assessing variation in polling error by party family
Pollsters have underestimated support for notable right-wing electoral outcomes, including Donald Trump’s vote share in 2016, 2020, and 2024, the UK Conservative Party in 2015 and 2024, and Leave in the 2016 EU referendum. Do these outcomes reflect isolated polling failures, or a persistent partisan
Conceptio Open Archive
Analyze & explore related research in Conceptio
Connect this record directly into your research workflow or AI agent. Explore citations across open repositories, query full text, and export structured proof bundles.
This document is indexed with metadata only: full text is not available in the archive for this record. Open the official source ↗
Related documents
- Changing modes or changing pollsters? U.S. Presidential Election Polls from 2016 to 2024#256827
- Collective action hinders the increase in post-election trust among election losers: Longitudinal evidence from the 2024 UK election#268754
- Bringing the members back in? Democratizing candidate selection in Britain and Spain#167851
- A longitudinal investigation of Germany’s 2025 general election: Implications for system-legitimacy, governmental (dis)trust, and electoral trust#976877
- Geographic Diversity and the Strategic Placement of Immigrant Candidates#1041603
Record · ID 1193757
Retrieved via Conceptio: every document is proof-bundled with source, license, and retrieval metadata.
Retrieved via Conceptio: every document is proof-bundled with source, license, and retrieval metadata.
Bring this data into your agent: Connect via MCP or API · 20 free credits to start · no card required
Read the Docs → · View CLI source on GitHub · Conceptio Open Knowledge Archive
Read the Docs → · View CLI source on GitHub · Conceptio Open Knowledge Archive