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Cities of Signals: Compression, Separation, and the Geometry of Novelty

Nunes, Marc da Costa
arXiv (All) · Papers
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mathematical-financeportfolio-management
A cross-sectional signal is a forecast vector over $d$ assets at each date; demeaned and normalized, it is a point on a sphere. Its city is the direction of its time-averaged vector in a common target-aligned frame, a compressed summary. When is the angle between two cities a conservative estimate o
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