bioRxiv / medRxiv
open access
CC BY 4.0
Nowcasting outbreak case and death counts from open-source reporting: a validation on the 2026 Ebola (Bundibugyo) outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo
Official outbreak counts are authoritative but published with delay. Between situation reports, a response team either works from a number that is several days old or extrapolates the official trend forward. We assess whether open-source reporting can reduce this gap. On the 2026 DRC Ebola outbreak
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