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Bayesian Model Averaging and Identification of Structural Breaks in Time Series

Fraser, Iain et al.
Munich Personal RePEc Archive · Reports
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Bayesian model averaging is used for testing for multiple break points in uni- variate series using conjugate normal-gamma priors. This approach can test for the number of structural breaks and produce posterior probabilities for a break at each point in time. Results are averaged over speciÖcati
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