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CALQA: Conformal Screening of Forecast-Ensemble Configurations from One Mergeable State

Xiufeng Liu et al.
arXiv CS · Papers
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AutoML systems fit ensemble weights over model libraries; a search can score, per category, market or time pane, thousands of weightings of the quantile-averaged (Vincentized) ensemble for the narrowest conformally calibrated interval; exact calibration scores a group's rows per candidate. We presen
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