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Certifying Whether to Adapt: Baseline-Relative PAC-Bayes-MMD Guarantees for Test-Time Adaptation
Test-time adaptation (TTA) needs a decision about an update, not only an absolute-risk estimate. We give PAC-Bayesian certificates for the target excess risk of a candidate relative to a pilot-fixed baseline. A radial certificate uses an MMD ambiguity radius; a direction-sensitive certificate retain
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