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Probabilistic Limit Order Book Forecasting with Conditional Diffusion Models

Chen, Junyu et al.
arXiv (All) · Papers
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econometricsmachine-learningtrading-and-market-microstructure
Modeling limit order book (LOB) dynamics is central to market forecasting and execution-strategy evaluation. While diffusion models achieve strong empirical performance, existing LOB snapshot models typically lack a learned recurrent encoder and formal statistical guarantees. We introduce LOBGrad, a
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