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Would a Holy Book Omit Essential Elements of Rational Thought and Belief - 07
Would a Holy Book Omit Essential Elements of This paper evaluates whether a divine text, authored by an omniscient and rational being, would lack explicit principles of rational thought and proportional belief. Rational belief is understood as credence scaled to evidence strength, defended across epistemology from Carnap's probability logic (Carnap, 1950) through Bayesian epistemology (Bovens & Hartmann, 2003) and accuracy-based justifications (Christensen, 2004; Joyce, 1999). Proportional belief is indispensable: Dutch Book arguments show that violating proportionality guarantees incoherence (de Finetti, 1974), and accuracy arguments show that proportional credences minimize long-run error. Forecasting research confirms the practice: superforecasters who update in probability gradients dramatically outperform binary thinkers (Tetlock & Gardner, 2015). If even human institutions can teach proportional reasoning, would a divine pedagogy omit it? Mapping these expectations onto the Bible reveals systematic absences: no definition of rationality, no pedagogy of credence gradients, valorization of faith beyond evidence, disparagement of doubt, and no systematic inoculation against bias. Comparative analysis shows these features better fit human authorship under cultural constraints than divine authorship. The conclusion recommends proportional-belief pedagogy as a universal epistemic norm, with implications for theology, science, law, and civic resilience.
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