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Consistent Standards of Evidence for Miracle Claims - 23
Ancient public miracle reports should not receive a weaker evidential standard merely because they are old or sacred. This paper argues that Matthew 27:52–53, where many raised saints are said to enter Jerusalem and appear to many, is not established by consistent public evidential standards. The governing rule is comparative: ask whether the full surviving record is more expected if the reported event occurred than if it did not, while placing each period's recording practices, witness access, transmission, and record survival into the background conditions. A modern cemetery-resurrection thought experiment makes the rule's parity and its historical asymmetry visible. A modern event should produce far more traces, so modern silence is stronger evidence. Yet Matthew's large public claim also raises an expectation of some independent trace. What survives is one literary attestation, no named witnesses to the saints, and no independently identifiable corroboration. That mismatch lowers historical confidence to a context-dependent degree rather than proving the episode false. The argument distinguishes testimonial warrant from source multiplication and answers the strongest replies about intended genre, lost records, oral transmission, theological background, and the wider cumulative resurrection case. Those replies can alter the interpretive framing, a prior, the expected survival of records, or the paper's scope, but they do not supply the missing independent support. The conclusion concerns this episode's public historical warrant; it does not disprove every miracle claim, the resurrection of Jesus, Christianity, or theism.
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