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Epistemic Dark Matter: The Problem of Complete Transmission Failure in Intellectual History and the Survivorship Bias That Conceals It

Sergent, Brandon
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philosophy
Intellectual history is systematically biased toward positions that eventually achieved transmission. The thinkers we study as "ignored in their time" are known to us precisely because their ideas eventually spread. This selection effect conceals a logically distinct category: positions that failed to transmit completely and therefore left no recoverable trace. This paper names this phenomenon complete transmission failure, distinguishes it from mere delay, and identifies a particularly severe subtype in which the mechanism of non-transmission is constitutive of the position itself. Existing frameworks, including Kuhn's incommensurability, Bourdieu's doxa, Foucault's episteme, and Fricker's hermeneutical injustice, map adjacent territory but none directly addresses the fully invisible case. The paper develops a taxonomy of transmission failure modes, examines the methodological problem of studying what leaves no record, identifies indirect signatures that might allow partial detection, proposes an empirical design for distinguishing transmission failure types by their response signatures, and considers implications for epistemology and intellectual historiography.
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