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Coherence Human Development Relational Structure Predictive Models Lifespan Psychology Stability

Bailey, Denis
PhilArchive · Papers
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philosophy
This paper offers a structural explanation of the Harvard Grant Study, the longest-running investigation of human development. While the study consistently shows that warm, stable relationships predict health, longevity, emotional regulation, and life satisfaction, it has remained largely descriptive for more than eight decades. This paper identifies coherence as the underlying developmental operator that unifies these findings. By interpreting relational warmth, stability, conflict, and isolation as structural conditions that shape internal predictive and emotional models, the paper reframes the Grant Study as empirical evidence for a general law of human development: the stability of the relational field determines the stability of the person. This structural lens clarifies why coherent environments produce flourishing and why incoherent environments produce fragmentation, offering a mechanism that connects the Grant Study’s historical data to contemporary patterns of youth mental‑health collapse.
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