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A review of methods to trace material flows into final products in dynamic material flow analysis: From industry shipments in physical units to monetary input–output tables, Part 1.

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A review of methods to trace material flows into final products in dynamic material flow analysis: From industry shipments in physical units to monetary input–output tables, Part 1 - PMC Skip to main content An official website of the United States government Here's how you know Here's how you know Official websites use .gov A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States. Secure .gov websites use HTTPS A lock ( Lock Locked padlock icon ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. Search Log in Dashboard Publications Account settings Log out Search… Search NCBI Primary site navigation Search Logged in as: Dashboard Publications Account settings Log in Search PMC Full-Text Archive Search in PMC Journal List User Guide PERMALINK Copy As a library, NLM provides access to scientific literature. 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Learn more: PMC Disclaimer | PMC Copyright Notice J Ind Ecol . 2023 Jan 12;27(2):436–456. doi: 10.1111/jiec.13380 Search in PMC Search in PubMed View in NLM Catalog Add to search A review of methods to trace material flows into final products in dynamic material flow analysis: From industry shipments in physical units to monetary input–output tables, Part 1 Jan Streeck Jan Streeck 1 Institute of Social Ecology, Department for Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria Find articles by Jan Streeck 1, ✉ , Stefan Pauliuk Stefan Pauliuk 2 Industrial Ecology Freiburg, Institute of Environmental Social Sciences and Geography, Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, Albert‐Ludwigs University Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany Find articles by Stefan Pauliuk 2 , Hanspeter Wieland Hanspeter Wieland 3 Institute for Ecological Economics, Department for Economics and Social Sciences, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria Find articles by Hanspeter Wieland 3 , Dominik Wiedenhofer Dominik Wiedenhofer 1 Institute of Social Ecology, Department for Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria Find articles by Dominik Wiedenhofer 1 Author information Article notes Copyright and License information 1 Institute of Social Ecology, Department for Economics and Social Sciences, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria 2 Industrial Ecology Freiburg, Institute of Environmental Social Sciences and Geography, Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, Albert‐Ludwigs University Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany 3 Institute for Ecological Economics, Department for Economics and Social Sciences, Vienna University of Economics and Business, Vienna, Austria ✉ Corresponding author. Issue date 2023. © The Authors 2023, Journal of Industrial Ecology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Society for Industrial Ecology This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ Creative Commons Attribution‐NonCommercial License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes. PMC Copyright notice PMCID: PMC13083399  PMID: 42004197 Abstract Dynamic material flow analysis (dMFA) is widely used to model stock‐flow dynamics. To appropriately represent material lifetimes, recycling potentials, and service provision, dMFA requires data about the allocation of economy‐wide material consumption to different end‐use products or sectors, that is, the different product stocks, in which material consumption accumulates. Previous estimates of this allocation only cover few years, countries, and product groups. Recently, several new methods for estimating end‐use product allocation in dMFA were proposed, which so far lack systematic comparison. We review and systematize five methods for tracing material consumption into end‐use products in inflow‐driven dMFA and discuss their strengths and limitations. Widely used data on industry shipments in physical units have low spatio‐temporal coverage, which limits their applicability across countries and years. Monetary input–output tables (MIOTs) are widely available and their economy‐wide coverage makes them a valuable source to approximate material end‐uses. We find four distinct MIOT‐based methods: consumption‐based, waste input–output MFA (WIO‐MFA), Ghosh absorbing Markov chain, and partial Ghosh. We show that when applied to a given MIOT, the methods’ underlying input–output models yield the same results, with the exception of the partial Ghosh method, which involves simplifications. For practical applications, the MIOT system boundary must be aligned to those of dMFA, which involves the removal of service flows, sector (dis)aggregation, and re‐defining specific intermediate outputs as final demand. Theoretically, WIO‐MFA, applied to a modified MIOT, produces the most accurate results as it excludes massless and waste transactions. In part 2 of this work, we compare methods empirically and suggest improvements for aligning MIOT‐dMFA system boundaries. Supplementary Information The online version of this article (doi:10.1111/jiec.13380) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. Keywords: circular economy, economy‐wide material flow accounting, environmental accounting, industrial ecology, input‐output analysis, societal metabolism INTRODUCTION Dynamic material flow analysis (dMFA) is increasingly used for the mass‐balanced modeling of socio‐economic material stocks and flows. It allows us to study the biophysical basis of society in great detail, including economy‐wide, long‐term, high process, and product resolution stock‐flow dynamics (Haberl et al., 2019 ; Lanau et al., 2019 ; Müller et al., 2014 ). Such information offers important insights for sustainability science and high‐level political goals like the Sustainable Development Goals or the Paris Climate Agreement (Clark & Harley, 2020 ; Haberl et al., 2019 ; Pauliuk & Hertwich, 2015 ). Research using dMFA can be divided into stock‐driven (“bottom‐up”) and inflow‐driven (“top‐down”) applications, depending on which exogenous data are used to endogenously derive either stocks or flows (Lanau et al., 2019 ; Müller et al., 2014 ; Wiedenhofer et al., 2019 ). We herein focus on inflow‐driven “top‐down” dMFA, which draws on widely available data for material or product consumption, production and trade, and models the accumulation of stocks from those physical flows into use (Cao, Shen, Løvik, et al., 2017 ; Liu & Müller, 2013 ; Pauliuk et al., 2013 ; Wiedenhofer et al., 2019 ). A major drawback of the available material flow data is that they either refer to specific products or report total economy‐wide material consumption without distinguishing any products or end‐uses (Chen & Graedel, 2015 ; Krausmann, Schandl, et al., 2017 ; Lanau et al., 2019 ). Improving the resolution and coverage of end‐use products in inflow‐driven dMFA is therefore an important research frontier. Material end‐use products refer to the type of product stocks as which materials accumulate and which are ultimately used to provide functions and services (living space provided by buildings, mobility enabled by infrastructure and bicycles, cars, trams, etc.; Carmona et al., 2017 ; Haberl et al., 2017 ; Kalt et al., 2019 ; Tanikawa et al., 2021 ). Improved end‐use product resolution would enable progress on, for example: more detailed and robust material stock and end‐of‐life outflow estimates by product through more accurate lifetime assumptions (Chen & Graedel, 2015 ; Miatto et al., 2017 ); better comparison with independently derived “bottom‐up” end‐use product estimates; expanded systems modeling, addressing product‐level operational energy use, emissions, or circularity; and linkage of stocks and flows with material and energy services, practices and ultimately their contributions to human well‐being (Haberl et al., 2021 ). To model the end‐use products that materials accumulate in, inflow‐driven dMFA studies draw on various data sources and methodological options (Figure 1 ). We focus on the first option in Figure 1 , which starts with widely available economy‐wide data on production, trade, and apparent consumption for multiple materials. Because these data are compiled in an aggregate manner, material end‐uses need to be added exogenously, using data on “end‐use shares” as proxy. Ideally, information on “end‐use shares” should be on the product rather than sectoral level, for example, refer to a residential building instead of the broader construction sector (Chen & Graedel, 2015 ; Chen, 2017 ). When available, sector and product‐specific data (Figure 1 , options 2/3) directly provide end‐use information (reviewed in Chen & Graedel, 2015 ), but these are often scarce or very labor intensive to compile, rendering economy‐wide and long‐term coverage across many materials, end‐uses, and countries hardly achievable. 1 FIGURE 1. Open in a new tab Approaches to utilizing different data sources for inflow‐driven dynamic material flow analysis to differentiate material stocks by end‐uses at product or sector level. Material end‐uses are defined as the “products” in which materials accumulate, for example, the steel, aluminum or plastics, accumulated in a bicycle, car, building, or infrastructure. Data availability and research scope determine which approach is feasible and useful (Chen & Graedel, 2015 ; Wiedenhofer et al., 2019 ). Data sources (0), (1), and (3) are shown with two data entry points (grey lines), as they can be utilized either as material/product production, or at the stage of apparent consumption after trade. This paper focuses on option (1): total material production/consumption multiplied by end‐use shares D to distinguish economy‐wide material use to end‐use products or sectors. To derive “end‐use shares” for economy‐wide material flows, several methods and data sources have been used. So far, these methods have not been systematically compared and differing terminology, mathematical notations, and study scopes make it hard to assess their strengths and weaknesses. Additionally, inflow‐driven dMFA studies are either increasingly re‐using published end‐use shares from previous work (Jácome et al., 2021 ; Klose & Pauliuk, 2021 ; León et al., 2020 ; Wieland et al., 2022 ), or could gain enhanced insights via the introduction of end‐uses to economy‐wide dMFA (Streeck et al., 2020 ; Wiedenhofer et al., 2019 ). Therefore, it becomes important to comparatively assess end‐use estimation methods to inform future work toward building more reliable stock‐flow databases across multiple materials, regions, and years. Here, we pose the following research questions: Which data sources and methods are used to determine the share of different end‐use products in final material consumption (“end‐use shares”) for inflow‐driven dMFA? What are the rationales and methodological requirements for each method? What are their similarities, differences, strengths, and weaknesses regarding consistent system boundaries, end‐use resolution, as well as application to many materials, countries, and years? We review and compare five distinct methods for deriving material end‐use shares applicable to economy‐wide material flows. Data sources include industry shipment data in physical units and monetary input–output tables (MIOTs). We start with an overview of key literature and methods and discuss each method's data requirement, clarity of documentation, system boundaries, and potential end‐use resolution. We then focus on MIOT‐based methods and provide a harmonized description of the procedures, rationales, and methodological requirements. In Section 3 we conclude on industry shipments versus MIOTs, and on the different MIOT‐based methods, and suggest potential methodological improvements. In part 2 of this work, we apply the five identified methods, including the suggested improvements, to the data‐rich case of the United States, as well as to major regions of a multi‐regional input‐output (MRIO) model (Streeck et al., 2022 ). REVIEWING METHODS TO DERIVE END‐USE SHARES To identify all original methods which exogenously derive end‐use shares for inflow‐driven dMFA, we focused on the English‐language peer‐reviewed literature as collected by two comprehensive reviews by Müller et al. ( 2014 ) and Lanau et al. ( 2019 ), searched Google Scholar, and applied citation snowballing, with a cut‐off in January 2022. We did not aim to systematically cover every single study using these methods, but rather to identify and review pioneering studies and recent prominent applications. We found five original methods to derive material end‐use shares, based on two widely used types of data sources (Table Table 1 ). First, many studies used industry shipment data in physical units with typically 3−10 end‐uses (17 end‐uses as exception, see Table Table 1 ). Second, we found four methods using MIOTs, resulting in 3−33 end‐uses. As noted by Nakamura et al. ( 2014 ), we found that various terms were used to describe “end‐use shares”, which suggests a lack of harmonized definitions. Terms ranged from “branching ratio” (Spatari et al., 2005 ), “sector split” (Müller et al., 2006 ), “distribution of resources among consumption products” (Duchin & Levine, 2010 ), “share of each respective end‐use” (Hatayama et al., 2010 ), “product‐to‐use matrix” (Cullen et al., 2012 ; Wang et al., 2007 ), “allocation matrix” (Cullen et al., 2012 ), “allocation matrix of materials to final products” (Nakamura et al., 2014 ), to “split ratio of end‐use sectors” (Cao et al., 2017 ). The different terms already point toward specific methods and scopes to derive end‐use information. Herein, we consistently used the term “end‐use shares” and checked if the methods provide information on actual products or product groups, instead of only broad sectors, such as “construction.” TABLE 1. Overview of selected studies that use industry shipment data in physical units versus input–output tables in monetary units to derive material end‐uses or end‐use shares for (inflow‐driven) dynamic material flow analysis. Only highly cited or recent studies are listed for industry shipment data. Publication Material flows Geographical resol. Time End‐uses End‐use source Actual data on end‐uses for: Physical Industry shipments (prominent examples) Zeltner et al. ( 1999 ) Copper USA 1900–2100 10 Black and Lyman ( 1990 ) 1975, 1989 Melo ( 1999 ) Aluminum Germany 1970–2012 7 Metallgesellschaft and WBMS as cited in Melo ( 1999 ) 1985–1995 Dahlström et al. ( 2004 ) Iron and steel, aluminum UK 1958/68–2001 6/9 Alfed, WBMS, ISSB 1978–2011, 1958−1997, 1970−2000 Spatari et al. ( 2005 ) Copper North America 1900–1999 10 Various, e.g., U.S. Bureau of Mines ( 1941 ), CDA ( 1980 ), literature, expert knowledge Unclear Müller et al. ( 2006 ) Iron USA 1900–2004 4 AISI (domestic shipment), imports as domestic shares 1941–1999 Daigo et al. ( 2007 ) Steel Japan 1980–2000 7 JISF, 1971–2003 ∼ 1971–2003 Kapur et al. ( 2008 ) Cement USA 1900–2005 7 USGS, PCA Unclear Hatayama et al. ( 2010 ) Steel 42 countries 1980–2005 8 40 countries with 1−6 datapoints: JISEA, 1980–2005 , USA: AISI, 1960–2006 , Japan: JISF, 1971–2000 min. 1980, max. 2005, ∼ 1960–2006, ∼ 1971–2000 Du and Graedel ( 2011 ) 15 rare earths Global, total # 1995–2007 17 USGS, CSRE ( 2008 ), JOGMEC ( 2007 ), MERI/J ( 2003 ), resolution unclear (China, Japan, USA) ∼ 2007 Glöser et al. ( 2013 ) Copper Global, total 1910–2010 17 ICSG, ICA and Ayres et al. ( 2003 ), resolution unclear 1912–2008, 2006−2010 Pauliuk et al. ( 2013 ) Iron and steel Global, country level 1700–2008 4 USA: AISI ( 1941–2005 ), UK: ISSB ( 1979 ) and Dahlström et al. ( 2004 ), India: SERC ( 2012 ) 2004, 1960−65 and 1970−2000, 1995−1999 Liu and Müller ( 2013 ) Aluminum Global, country level 1900–2010 7 19 countries, various sources, e.g., WBMS, GARC, Alfed Min. 1950, max. 2010 Cao, Shen, Løvik, et al. ( 2017 ) Cement Global, country level 1950–2014 3 Statistics by industry experts, e.g., PCA, Cembureau Min. ∼ 1990, max. 2011 Geyer et al. ( 2017 ) Plastics Global, total 1950–2015 7 Various, e.g., PlasticsEurope, ACC, CPMAI, for EU, USA, China, India 2002–2014 Carmona et al. ( 2021 ) Steel in transport sector UK 1960–2015 5 WSA and secondary data made available by Dahlström et al. ( 2004 ) and Pauliuk et al. ( 2019 ) 1978−2011, see Dahlström et al., unclear Methods Publication Material flows Geography/resolution Time End‐uses Source for IO table Validation?* Monetary input–output tables Waste input–output approach to material flow analysis (WIO‐MFA)*** (Nakamura et al., 2007 ; Nakamura & Kondo, 2002 ; Nakamura & Nakajima, 2005 ) Nakamura et al. ( 2014 ) Steel in a car Exemplary/Japanese data 100 years 5 Japanese 2005 Comparison to industry data ‡ Pauliuk et al. ( 2017 ) Steel Global, 25 regions 2015–2100 10 EXIOBASE v2 2007 Sensitivity analysis Yokoi et al. (2018)** Copper Japan 2011 16 Japanese 2011 No Nakatani et al. ( 2020 ) Plastic containers and packaging Japan 2015 Packaging (1) Japanese 2000/05/11/15 No Helbig et al. ( 2022 ) 7 metal elements Global, global 1000 years 11 Combine EXIOBASE v3 2011 and Japanese 2005 Comparison to USGS 2011 production data WIO‐MFA + transaction price extension (see S 1.1) Chen and Graedel ( 2015 ) Aluminum USA 1963–2007 Motor vehicles (1) U.S. BEA benchmark 1963−2007 Other estimation methods Chen ( 2017 ) Aluminum USA 1963–2007 33 (>100 products) WIO‐MFA + investment matrix (see S 1.1) Kondo et al. ( 2012 ) 17 materials Japan 2000 10 (in 17 sectors) Japanese 2000 No Yokoi et al. (2022)** Copper Japan 1960–2015 16 (in 12 sectors) Japanese (1960–2015, ∼ 5 yearly) Comparison to literature Consumption‐based accounting (CBA) Hashimoto et al. ( 2007 ) Construction minerals Japan 1995 24 Japanese 1995 Second method CBA + investment matrix (see S 1.1) Dombi ( 2018 ) Total domestic extraction Hungary 1995–2015/2001−2015 EXIOBASE v2 sectors (3 further analyzed) EXIOBASE v2 2007, EU KLEMS, Hungarian statistics Comparison to literature (Dombi et al., 2018 ) Ghosh‐IO absorbing Markov chains (AMC) Duchin and Levine ( 2010 ) Exemplary “resource” Exemplary Exemplary 3 exemplary Exemplary — Duchin and Levine ( 2013 ) “Ores” Global, 3 regions 1990 4 WTMBT 3 regions — Partial Ghosh‐input–output (IO) Cao, Shen, Liu, et al. ( 2017 ) Cement China 1970–2013 3 Eora national table 1970−2013 Statistics in mass 1999/2000 Aryapratama and Pauliuk ( 2019 ) Wood Indonesia 1961–2016 6 Indonesian 2010 No Open in a new tab # Note : However, some country‐level results in text. ∼ Indicates that the period is not entirely clear from documentation and that primary sources could not be accessed for checking. Abbreviations: ACC, American Chemistry Council; Alfed, The Aluminum Federation; AISI, American Iron and Steel Institute; CDA, Copper Development Association; Cembureau, European Cement Association; CPMAI, Chemical and Petrochemicals Manufacturers’ Association India; CSRE, Chinese Society of Rare Earths; GARC, Global Aluminum Recycling Committee; ICA, International Copper Association; ICSG, International Copper Study Group; ISSB, Iron and Steel Statistics Bureau; JISEA, Japan Iron and Steel Exporters’ Association; JISF, The Japan Iron and Steel Federation; JOGMEC, Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corporation; MERI/J, Metal Economics Research Institute, Japan; PCA, U.S. Portland Cement Association; SERC, Spark Steel & Economy Research; USGS, United States Geological Survey; WBMS, World Bureau of Metal Statistics; WSA, World Steel Association. ‡ Based on Nakamura and Nakajima ( 2005 ). *Of end‐use shares. **Yokoi et al. (2018, 2022 ) also apply transaction‐specific prices (in a price extension). ***Multiple other studies apply WIO‐MFA, mostly in static studies looking at a single year, for example, in substance case studies (Nakamura et al., 2009 ), as methodological development (Nakamura et al., 2011 ; Ohno, Matsubae, et al., 2017 ) or to track material flows through supply networks (Chen et al., 2016 ; Jiang et al., 2017 ; Nuss et al., 2019 ; Ohno et al., 2016 ). Schiller et al. ( 2017 ) also use MIOTs to estimate the direct material input (DMI) of stock‐building materials going to “capital goods.” To the best of our knowledge, the authors understand capital goods as certain types of equipment not falling under buildings, infrastructure, or consumer goods. From the documentation in Schiller et al. ( 2015 ), it seems that a classical Leontief model (CBA) was used with one particular category of final demand (“Ausrüstung und sonstige Anlagen” = capital goods) to calculate end‐uses. However, certain service flows in the inter‐industry/technology matrix were not considered, which resembles aspects of WIO‐MFA. Furthermore, the authors did not distinguish DMI output by MIOT sector but rather estimated DMI in capital goods by using the final demand category “capital goods” as final demand vector, which is somewhat similar to disaggregated investment matrices. As the documentation does not give explicit formulas, we cannot surely allocate the cited work to a specific method. Eora, see Lenzen et al. ( 2013 ); AMC, absorbing Markov chains; KLEMS, see O'Mahony and Timmer ( 2009 ); EXIOBASE, see Stadler et al. ( 2018 ); U.S. BEA, United States of America Bureau of Economic Analysis; WTMBT, World Trade Model with Bilateral Trade (Strømman & Duchin, 2006 ); USGS, United States Geological Survey. Industry shipments were reported by statistical bureaus (e.g., International Steel Statistics Bureau), industry associations (e.g., International Wrought Copper Council), or geological surveys (e.g., USGS mineral commodity summaries; Kelly & Matos, 2014 ). Terminology and definitions varied, from “shipments […] to manufacturing and fabrication” (Dahlström et al., 2004 ), “shipments by end‐use” (The Aluminum Association, 2009 ), “apparent use […] by market” (PCA, 2016 ), or “supply […] in the end‐use markets” (CDA, 2020 ). Herein, we used the summary term “industry shipments.” Pioneering studies using end‐use shares derived from industry shipments started in the 1990s, focusing on single materials and countries with good data availability (Dahlström et al., 2004 ; Melo, 1999 ; Zeltner et al., 1999 ). Several studies followed that approach and extrapolated end‐use shares available for only a few years and single countries, to conduct global, country‐level, long‐term modeling (Cao, Shen, Løvik, et al., 2017 ; Glöser et al., 2013 ; Liu & Müller, 2013 ; Müller et al., 2006 ; Pauliuk et al., 2013 ). See Table Table 1 , and Section 2.1 for details. The second major approach, containing four original methods, utilized MIOTs to derive end‐use shares (Table Table 1 and Section 2.2 ). MIOTs report monetary flows between economic sectors, which can be used as proxy for physical flows, and are available from national statistics offices (US BEA, 2021 ). We identified 12 works that used national‐level MIOTs to derive end‐use shares, thereof 7 for Japan or the United States, which provide the most detailed MIOTs globally. National MIOTs were also integrated into global, MRIO models, starting in the 1990s (Inomata & Owen, 2014 ; Tukker et al., 2018 ), and some already in the 1970s (Lenzen et al., 2013 ; Lenzen et al., 2021 ). To our knowledge, Pauliuk et al. ( 2017 ) present the only empirical case using an MRIO with coverage of many countries/regions (25) for dMFA purposes. 2 Assessing industry shipments as approach to derive end‐use shares At first sight, industry shipments are an attractive data source to derive end‐use shares, as numerous studies show (Table Table 1 ). However, there are a number of critical limitations to be considered. These start with practical data scarcity and inaccessibility, as many times substantial fees or memberships have to be paid for (e.g., The Aluminum Association, 2009 ), and continue with poor documentation of data generation, system boundaries, and end‐use definitions, as well as the usually quite low product resolution. Consequently, when such data are applied, various extrapolations and assumptions are required to compensate for these specific limitations. Scarce coverage of space and time : Industry shipment data require use of large‐scale extrapolation. Pauliuk et al. ( 2013 ) for instance mapped industry shipment data for India (1995–99), the United Kingdom (1960–65/1970–2000), and the United States (2004) to three sets of four end‐use shares each (transport, construction, machinery, products) and used the derived shares as time‐constant for all countries globally. The authors then optimized international end‐use shares by selecting those shares resulting in the best scrap market balance. Incomplete reporting of material flows : Data at times reflect only a share of total economy‐wide material use or production, which is not always transparently reported, for example, the inclusion of imports of materials contained in final products (end‐uses) can remain unclear (Pauliuk et al., 2013 ). To nonetheless achieve coverage of economy‐wide material flows, end‐use shares derived from shipments are often combined with independent estimates of total apparent consumption or gross additions stocks to derive total material end‐use. Ignoring subsequent trade flows : Data can either refer to shipments to manufacturing sectors (mostly for highly manufactured materials, e.g., steel to automotive), in which case trade of final products is not included; or to shipments to final markets for which trade is included (mostly for less manufactured materials, e.g., cement to residential buildings). If large quantities of a material are embedded in traded goods, such as electronics, the computation of apparent final consumption as output + imports—exports is essential (Müller et al., 2011 ). Ignoring subsequent waste flows : If waste flows are high, such as in aerospace manufacturing or parts of vehicle manufacturing (Milford et al., 2011 ), they need to be deducted from the materials consumed by end‐use sectors, which is seldomly reported in studies. Ambiguous system boundaries of end‐use categories : Certain categories such as “construction” are very broad and might contain only the materials used for construction products such as buildings, infrastructure, etc., or refer to sectoral activities which can for instance also contain construction machinery and tools. For example, in the United States the latter is the case for copper end‐use statistics, while it is not specified for aluminum in the publicly available data sources (CDA, 2020 ; Kelly & Matos, 2014 ; The Aluminum Association, 2009 ). Incoherent system boundaries across materials : Definitions of end‐uses differ across materials, for example, material use for “containers and packaging” is reported as own category in US aluminum, but included in the category “others” for iron and steel statistics (Chen & Graedel, 2015 ). Potential for misclassification : Reported industry shipments to end‐uses might actually be intermediate products, which are supplied to other end‐use products. Ohno, Fukushima, et al. ( 2017 ) gave the example of “electric and electronics equipment” being delivered to the “automobile industry” in which case part of the material in the first end‐use would be misclassified. Non‐descriptive and unclear end‐use definitions : Where substantial shipments to sectors such as “service centers” or “other” are reported, for which the actual end‐use of the respective shipments remains unclear (Pauliuk et al., 2013 ; USGS, 2018 ). Low end‐use resolution : The resolution of shipments’ destination (end‐use) is often on a more aggregated sectoral rather than product level (Chen & Graedel, 2015 ; Ohno, Fukushima, et al., 2017 ). 3 Assessing monetary input–output tables as approach to derive end‐use shares (MIOTs) MIOTs are derived from the System of National Accounts, thereby following a national, economy‐wide system boundary, and report on the sectoral interdependencies of an economy (United Nations, 2009, 2014 ). They are widely available (e.g., US MIOTs since 1947), cover all economic sectors, including material production, and show medium to high sector resolution which enables detailed modeling of end‐use sectors or even products (Chen & Graedel, 2015 ). However, utilizing MIOTs as proxy for physical flows requires several assumptions, the most prominent being the assumption of homogenous prices for each sector and product group output, and assuming proportionality between monetary and physical flows (Bullard & Herendeen, 1975 ; Weisz & Duchin, 2006 ). 4 To facilitate the description of the four MIOT‐based methods to derive end‐use shares, Figure 2 illustrates the schematic of a MIOT. In the equations below, non‐italic, non‐bold lower‐case letters (like “a”) denote vectors and italic, non‐bold lower‐case letters (like “ c ”) denote scalars or elements of vectors/matrices. Non‐italic, bold uppercase letters (like “ B ”) stand for matrices. i and j stand for row and column indices respectively. e stands for appropriate column vector for summation that contains only ones. ^ denotes diagonalization of a vector. FIGURE 2. Open in a new tab Schematic input‐output table (IOT) with exemplary three sectors corresponding to materials, intermediate or consumer products, and services. The labels for the table's compartments are used in subsequent equations. gfcf, gross fixed capital formation; gov, government consumption; hh, household consumption For transparent comparison of the four methods below, we define the end‐use share matrix D which satisfies the following conditions: 0 ≤ ≤ 1, . D can come in two different forms: for an element indicates the share of sector output i (e.g., a material; row) contained in the deliveries of sector j (column) to final demand, j therein identified as end‐use sector for i (the index refers to one of the four identified methods in Sections 2.2.1 – 2.2.4 : waste input–output MFA [WIO‐MFA], consumption‐based accounting [CBA], Ghosh‐IO AMC, and partial Ghosh‐IO). For an element states the share of a natural resource or material (e.g., an ore) listed in the extension table F that is allocated to the deliveries of sector j to final demand. In here, we primarily show the calculation of . The two forms of D can be transformed into each other, using a matrix of allocation factors of environmental indicators in satellite F to sectors j ( , for details see supplementary information one (Supporting Information S1, section S 1b )). The waste input–output approach to material flow analysis WIO‐MFA was first presented in Nakamura and Nakajima ( 2005 ), introducing a mass‐balanced material flow analysis perspective to MIOTs. WIO‐MFA uses monetary transaction data to approximate the flow of materials into downstream supply chain products at their actual mass. For this purpose, WIO‐MFA introduces filter matrices which exclude all monetary inputs that do not become part of the physical product output of an industrial sector (e.g., automobile production produces automobiles). The mass filter matrix excludes all monetary inputs that represent non‐physical transactions (i.e., service transactions in unmodified MIOTs in Figure 2 ), and the yield factor matrix Γ deducts part of the monetary transactions as processing waste, the remainder of which (1‐Γ) defines a waste fraction. Both matrices are multiplied element‐wise (Hadamard product ⊙) with the technology matrix A to exclude non‐physical transactions and separate waste flows (Equation 1 ): 1 is furthermore partitioned according to the degree of the sector output's fabrication. is a matrix with only non‐zero elements for those transactions where “materials” i become part of “products” j (see Figure 2 ). is a matrix with only non‐zero elements for “products” i becoming part of other “products” j . 5 This partition is crucial to enforce mass balance across the WIO‐MFA model (Nakamura et al., 2007 ). From these two matrices, a material composition matrix C is calculated (Equation 2 ). Each coefficient of C states the concentration of materials in product output to final demand, that is, the material input i per (monetary) output of produc t j leaving the inter‐industry system toward final demand. 2 To obtain C , a calculation similar to obtaining the Leontief inverse is conducted, with the difference that the inter‐industry system is cut off toward upstream material sectors. Thus C does not represent supply chain wide requirements, but a material concentration matrix, in which the exogenous direct material input i to product j ( ) is delivered to an industry subsystem ( ), which traces product‐to‐product flows only. C coefficients can be in either monetary, hybrid or physical units depending on the original units of the partitioned matrix. WIO‐MFA Equation ( 2 ) is the analogue of a Leontief price model, just that the material concentration table C is substituted for the commodity price and exogenous material input for value added (for detailed explanation, see Supporting Information S1, section S1b). To calculate the end‐use share matrix D WIO , that is, the output share of material i (e.g., cement) as product j (e.g., a house) to final demand y, material composition C is post‐multiplied with final demand and divided by total output of material i contained in all products j (Equation 3 ; Nakamura et al., 2014 ). 3 Below, we briefly discuss studies that used WIO‐MFA to split aggregate material flows to end‐uses (see Table Table 1 ). Nakamura et al. ( 2014 ) developed the MaTrace model, a combination of dMFA and a linear IO‐model, to trace material flows through their lifecycle, amongst others, to end‐use products. The authors applied the model to trace ferrous materials in Japanese passenger cars and used the WIO‐MFA method together with the Japanese MIOT for the year 2005 to generate an end‐use share matrix for refined materials. Pauliuk et al. ( 2017 ) extended the model by Nakamura et al. ( 2014 ) to MaTrace Global which covers steel flows in the global economy in 25 regions. They used the MRIO database EXIOBASE v2 for the year 2007 in combination with WIO‐MFA to calculate the end‐use share matrix for all regions. Several other studies used and extended upon the original MaTrace model, including MaTrace‐alloy (Nakamura et al., 2017 ), MaTrace‐multi (Helbig et al., 2022 ), and various case studies (Jácome et al., 2021 ; Klose & Pauliuk, 2021 ; León et al., 2020 ; Takeyama et al., 2016 ; not all of them used WIO‐MFA to derive end‐use shares). Nakamura and Kondo ( 2018 ) presented a dynamic model for the WIO method by integrating it with MaTrace‐alloy, which also comprised an end‐use share matrix. Yokoi et al. ( 2018 ) proposed an approach to distinguish pathways of material flows which accumulate as end‐use products in final demand versus in endogenous (inter‐industry) sectors, those that are accompanying product flows (e.g., packaging), and those which dissipate within industries. They applied it for WIO‐MFA and copper flows in Japan (2011). Additionally, the authors proposed a new approach to distinguish materials in different processing forms for WIO‐MFA (2.1.4. in Yokoi et al., 2018 ), which is similar to the hypothetical extraction method (HEM) that has been proposed for the Leontief model (Dietzenbacher et al., 2019 ; Hertwich, 2021 ) and with similar outcome to a method already introduced in the original WIO‐MFA publication by Nakamura et al. ( 2007 ). The approaches to distinguish materials in different processing forms are also important for differentiating end‐uses and are further elaborated on in Section 3.2 . The approach of Yokoi et al. ( 2018 ) was furthermore applied by Nakatani et al. ( 2020 ) who traced the flows of plastic containers and packaging in Japan. 6 Consumption‐based accounting CBA is widely used to estimate the so‐called environmental footprints (Galli et al., 2012 ; Wiedmann & Lenzen, 2018 ; Wiedmann et al., 2006 ). Here, environmental burdens from socio‐economic activity are allocated to categories of final demand, depicting the “embodied” environmental burdens accumulating along (global) supply chains. To estimate the flow of embodied environmental burdens per sector, that is, sector footprint , an environmental extension F (expressing the absolute environmental burden by sector) is divided by total output x, and multiplied with the total requirement matrix L and the vector of final demand y (Equation 4 ): 4 The environmental extension F can be constructed either as supply or as use‐extension (Owen et al., 2017 ; Wieland et al., 2020 ). For materials, a supply‐extension translates to the supply or extraction of raw materials (e.g., limestone) by different sectors which is distributed to the economy. A use‐extension refers to semi‐manufactured goods that are used further downstream the supply chain (e.g., cement made from limestone and used in construction), and whose corresponding row in the Z matrix is replicated as row in the F matrix. Depending on extension choice, the footprint has different interpretations: for the supply‐extension, element of matrix represents the accumulated amount of natural resource i (e.g., limestone or iron ore), while for the use‐extension the accumulated amount of material i (e.g., cement or steel), that is required for producing the final demand for sector j . From Equation ( 4 ), the end‐use share matrix , can be calculated via Equation ( 5 ), with coefficients representing the share of environmental burden F that is embodied in final demand of sector j . , that is, the share of sector output i that is embodied in final demand of sector output j , can be calculated via Equation ( 6 ). Compared to WIO‐MFA, does not solely contain end‐use shares for “materials” but also for all other MIOT sectors (potentially including both “products” and “services” in the sense of Figure 2 ). 5 6 For CBA, the end‐use shares calculated for sector output j include all upstream direct and indirect (raw) material, product and service inputs, also those that might not become physical part of the output to final demand j . These include both, monetary transactions that have been assigned physical material via the proportionality assumption of monetary and physical flows, but are most likely not of physical nature (i.e., services), and monetary transactions (or fractions of those) that are physical, but refer to waste flows which do not become part of end‐use products (e.g., new scrap during manufacturing). Thus, the end‐use share for a physical product j represents embodied material use, different from the actual material mass of the physical product like for WIO‐MFA. In effect, these properties lead to misclassifications of material end‐uses. 7 , 8 Hashimoto et al. ( 2007 ) used CBA with a type of use‐extension for a Japanese MIOT for 1995 to allocate the Japanese domestic production of construction minerals (cement, sand and gravel, crushed stone) to 24 material end‐uses. The authors compared end‐use results with a second estimation method, which they deemed more reliable than CBA. Also Dombi ( 2018 ) used CBA with supply‐extension to distribute total domestic extraction to end‐uses (for details see S 1a section 2). Ghosh input–output absorbing Markov chains Duchin and Levine ( 2010 ) proposed an input–output notation to absorbing Markov chains (AMC) and introduced a framework to trace the number of times a resource flows through the industrial network (“resource‐specific networks”). Duchin and Levine ( 2013 ) extended this approach to only track those flows going to a single final product (“resource end‐use networks”), which can be used to calculate end‐use shares. The AMCs’ central element is the so‐called transition matrix, that is, documenting the probability of transitioning between two previously defined states, for example, the transformation of a resource into an intermediate product. Duchin and Levine ( 2010 ) proposed that for IOA, the transition coefficients represent the proportion of a resource transitioning to a product. This definition in IOA terms can be understood as the direct output coefficients matrix . Similar to WIO‐MFA, Duchin and Levine ( 2010 ) introduced supply‐chain directionality according to the degree of a product's fabrication into their model. They achieved this by partitioning the matrix Z ’s sectors into resources (which we here call materials m to align with WIO‐MFA notation) and products p where only the two right‐sided quadrants are non‐zero (Equation 7 ). The direct output coefficients matrix Q denotes that materials can become part of intermediate products ( ) and the latter can become part of the same or other intermediate products ( ), while excluding other directionalities: 7 In addition to directionality, the IO‐AMC defines absorbing states which once entered, “capture” associated flows (“consumption goods”). Duchin and Levine ( 2010 ) defined these states as matrix R (Equation 8 ) which gives the share of final demand y in total gross production of products ( p ). Materials ( m ) are assumed to not directly transition to final demand, but first become part of intermediate products (thus zero). If transactions in original Z and y are deleted, x requires re‐calculation before calculating Q and R . 8 To trace flows over the whole supply chain, the inverse of Q is calculated (which is similar to the Ghosh inverse G ). Multiplying this inverse with R yields the distribution of sector outputs i to final demand as product j (Equation 9 ). As for CBA, includes shares for all sectors defined in the MIOT used. 9 Duchin and Levine ( 2013 ) applied the framework to the world trade model with bilateral trade (Strømman & Duchin, 2006 ), tracing the use of ores to four end‐uses. Besides this study, we are not aware of any other application of this framework. In the distinction of materials, intermediate and consumption products, the proposed Ghosh‐IO AMC corresponds closely to WIO‐MFA. In contrast, as for CBA, Ghosh‐IO AMC does not remove waste flows and, depending on the definition of sectors, might also include services (which would translate to a consumption‐based footprint perspective). Partial Ghosh input–output In their work on stocks and flows of cement and wood, Cao, Shen, Liu, et al. ( 2017 ) and Aryapratama and Pauliuk ( 2019 ) used procedures that are similar to the first steps of the Ghosh‐IO AMC in order to derive end‐use shares D . However, the authors used a modified version of the direct output coefficients matrix B , which is why we termed their approach partial Ghosh‐IO. While in the Ghosh model, B is calculated with gross output x, the two studies only used the intermediate output, that is, summing over the row elements in the inter‐industry transaction matrix Z (x INTER ). Hereafter, this matrix is termed in which the resulting coefficients give the direct allocation of a sectors output to all inter‐industry sectors (Equation 10 ). Thus, the summation of elements in rows adds up to one. 10 To calculate the distribution over supply‐chain steps, Cao et al. ( 2017 ) and Aryapratama and Pauliuk ( 2019 ) defined sectors as either intermediate or end‐use: intermediate sectors deliver 100% of their output further downstream the supply chain to other intermediate or end‐use sectors; end‐use sectors only receive inputs from intermediate sectors, which are assumed to be delivered in full to final demand (the absorbing state in AMC terms). Materials ( m ), as defined in the Ghosh‐IO AMC, are part of intermediate products ( p ) in this method. Material flows are traced manually to several downstream steps in the supply chain until they reach end‐use. Here, we formalized the procedure using matrix notation: analogous to Equation ( 7 ), we first partitioned into Q INTER with the individual rows/columns reflecting intermediate ( p ) and end‐use products ( c ), respectively. Only flows of intermediates (to intermediate use and end‐use) were non‐zero (Equation 11 ): 11 Second, we computed the Ghosh‐inverse of Q INTER that is, where the top right quadrant contained the end‐use share matrix, reflecting the flow of intermediates ( p , for this method including materials m ) to end‐uses ( c , Equation 12 ): 12 Cao et al. ( 2017 ) applied this method to the Chinese inter‐industry transaction matrices for 1970−2013 from the global MRIO Eora (Lenzen et al., 2013 ). The authors distributed the apparent consumption of cement according to the derived end‐use shares along up to two intermediate supply‐chain steps, before arriving at end‐use, and deducted 1.5% material losses during transportation. Out of a total of 122 sectors in the Eora MIOTs, the authors aggregated 113 sectors to 3 end‐use sectors (agriculture, buildings, infrastructure). For the years 1999 and 2000, the authors found a close fit between the derived cement use in buildings and statistics from the China Building Industry Yearbook (NBSC, 2002 ). Aryapratama and Pauliuk ( 2019 ) used the inter‐industry matrix of the Indonesian national MIOT for 2010 and distributed the apparent consumption of wood/roundwood, pulp, sawnwood, and wood‐based panels to six end‐use categories (paper and packaging, furniture, buildings, infrastructure, agriculture, others). Export of end‐use products was only considered for furniture, as for other end‐uses, monetary export flows reported in the MIOT were small compared to final demand. In addition to the four methods described here, we found dMFA studies that applied extra modifications to MIOTs (i.e., use of investment matrices and transaction specific prices). These are described in Supporting Information S1, section S1a. DISCUSSION Using industry shipment and monetary input–output data for global end‐use shares If available at sufficient detail and suitable sectoral resolution, end‐use shares derived from industry shipments in physical units are superior to monetary data as they resemble more closely the biophysical flows modeled in dMFA. In practice, however, industry shipment data are scarce in terms of tempo‐spatial coverage, usually yield low end‐use resolution, and are prone to misclassification of end‐use categories and partial system coverage (see Section 2.1 ). For individual countries with good data availability, industry shipments are well suited to differentiate end‐uses. For the systematic compilation of end‐use shares for economy‐wide material use across multiple materials, years, and countries, available data are limited and their potential largely exploited (Table Table 1 ). Therefore, MIOTs represent a complementary data source due to their global availability, often relatively high resolution of countries and sectors, and their economy‐wide coverage. The few studies that compared end‐uses derived from MIOTs with other methods for a handful of years and three countries, mostly found good agreement (Cao et al., 2017 ; Chen, 2017 ; Chen & Graedel, 2015 ; Hashimoto et al., 2007 ). However, the assumptions that apply to the environmental extension of MIOTs, as described in Section 2.2 , need to be considered when evaluating results. Additionally, the following specifics of MIOTs call for further investigation: First, the quality and differentiation of end‐use data relies on the quality of specific MIOTs, for both the number of sectors and the way these are defined. While previous work mostly utilized high‐resolution country‐level MIOTs (i.e., United States and Japan, see Table Table 1 ), such detailed MIOTs are hardly available for other countries. For MRIOs, substantial efforts have been made to improve sectoral resolution, especially in the primary extractive industries. This influences two properties which can strongly impact results: first, how environmental extensions can be matched to MIOT sectors and which assumptions are required to allocate materials or energy, which are usually reported with system boundaries different from those of MIOT sectors (Inomata & Owen, 2014 ; Owen et al., 2017 ; Tukker et al., 2018 ; Wieland et al., 2020 ); and second, the accuracy of downstream tracing (i.e., the more disaggregated the supply chain of materials, the better suited are assumed average material intensities and output structure, leading to more accurate tracing; Lenzen, 2011 ). 9 For end‐use sectors, however, the resolution is often quite low. For instance, “construction” is responsible for the lions share of global material use, but represents only one sector in many MRIOs, which is problematic if one wants to distinguish between residential buildings, infrastructure, etc. (Krausmann et al., 2017 ; Lenzen et al., 2013 ; Stadler et al., 2018 ). Only the recently published GLORIA MRIO at least distinguishes “all buildings” and civil engineering (Lenzen et al., 2021 ). Also at high MIOT product resolution, some end‐use product stocks can show large differences to physical accounts (Chen, 2017 ), which merits the question how reliable the interpretation of results for individual MIOT sectors is. 10 In part 2 of this review, we empirically investigate these issues (Streeck et al., 2022 ). Second, the system boundaries of MIOTs differ from those of dMFA. On an aggregate level, MIOT transactions are similar to dMFA flows, except for that they contain waste (Figure 3 : 1) and service flows (Figure 3 : 2). For instance, final demand Y is similar to the gross additions to stock (GAS) in dMFA, while including demand for services and waste treatment. FIGURE 3. Open in a new tab Schematic representation of monetary input—output table (MIOT) structure and identified points for potential inconsistencies with system boundaries of dynamic material flow analysis, when determining end‐use as sector output deliveries from the inter‐industry system to final demand/use. GAS, gross additions to stock; SERV, service flows; TRANS, product flows transformed into products On a fine‐grained level, dMFA is interested in tracing material flows into use either as a product (e.g., steel use in a building), an activity (e.g., steel use in health care), or a product within an activity (e.g., steel in buildings used in health care). In their default configuration, MIOTs take a product perspective by tracking materials into products for final use when these enter final demand (United Nations, 2009 ). The physical use of MIOT products in different activities cannot be identified with standard input–output analysis (IOA) but would require augmentation with further data. 11 Rather, the in‐use stock requirements for activities are assumed to be provided by industrial assets and other durable products in the form of services. Small discrepancies exist that complicate matching MIOTs to dMFA system boundaries: intermediate demand refers to the transactions that are input to an industry and are either “ entirely used up ” or “transformed” and become part of the industry's output (United Nations, 2009 : 6.224, 10.35). However, it also includes smaller maintenance, repairs, and tools (United Nations, 2009 : 6.225, 6.226). Therefore, when using MIOTs, we cannot be sure exactly which part of the flow remains as GAS within the receiving industry activity as, for example, small repairs or hand tools, and which part is contained in the industries product output (Figure 3 : 3). 12 Other than that exception, both MIOTs and dMFA can have an aligned system definition regarding products when the definitions of product groups match, or if the dMFA products are simply a (partial) aggregation of the MIOT products. If a MIOT‐product is delivered to final demand and matches the dMFA‐product definition, the dMFA‐coherent tracing of material flows into products with MIOTs is feasible. However, two cases of mismatch can occur: The material flow in MIOTs is routed into the “wrong” product group as it is delivered to final demand early and does not reach the matching dMFA product/sector (Figure 3 : 4): for example, a boiler is delivered to final demand as investment (GFCF) and is thus identified as end‐use category “machinery.” In contrast, in dMFA, we might want to account the boiler as part of the end‐use “buildings.” However, the flows to trace the boiler from GFCF into “buildings” are not present in standard MIOTs. The material flow in MIOTs is propagated too far downstream and skips the matching dMFA product/sector classification (Figure 3 : 5): for example, when “construction machinery” is an intermediate input to “building construction,” the MIOT approach would identify the latter sector as end‐use category. This categorization of “construction machinery” corresponds rather to an activity (construction) than a product (machinery). For the intended accounting as product, the items would need to be delivered to final instead of intermediate demand. Some products, for example, packaging, are always identified as MIOT intermediate use and thus systematically propagated too far downstream compared to dMFA categories. These products will never show up as distinct end‐use in any MIOT‐based method that defines end‐use according to the product transactions to final demand (also see Section 3.2 , point (3)). For detailed MIOTs with suitable product labels (e.g., “boiler”), these issues can in theory be identified by tracing individual supply‐chain steps. However, this gets more difficult when product groups are more aggregated (e.g., an aggregate category “heating equipment” can be both an input to a building or purchase by consumer). Additional problems emerge as MIOTs follow an economic and not a biophysical logic. For instance, product transactions are accounted for in either intermediate or final demand, depending on the type of use: if a product is purchased for final consumption or investment, the product transaction is reported in final demand and thus classified as end‐use product (e.g., a boiler purchased by a private household); if a product is purchased by a third party to install the product in mandate of a final consumer/investor, the transaction might be accounted for in intermediate demand (e.g., a boiler purchased by a plumber [part of a service sector] for installation in the private household (E. Kolleritsch & Statistik Austria, personal communication, June 30, 2022)). In the second case, the end‐use of materials in the boiler would be classified according to the label of the respective plumbing service sector. Additionally, ownership changes of already existing fixed assets might be accounted for in GFCF, which  were produced from material consumption in an earlier and not the present year (United Nations, 2009 : 10.38/39). In summary, while the System of National Accounts provides an overarching systematic, in practice, the concrete implementation of the mentioned points in national accounting might vary substantially (United Nations, 2009 : 1.51/53). This might introduce unsystematic differences into MIOTs, which complicates the formulation of a generalized matching to dMFA system boundaries, leaving some remaining mismatches untackled by the MIOT‐based methods reviewed herein. Comparison of MIOT‐based methods and their strengths and weaknesses The four methods to distinguish material end‐use shares from MIOTs presented in Section 2.2 are different in two ways: they make use of different input–output (IO) models, and they apply different kinds of data manipulation to original MIOTs. These differences raise the question of how strongly these two elements influence end‐use results. Table 2 summarizes differences between methods and the following text elaborates on these (roman letters in the text below refer to row identifiers in Table 2 ). TABLE 2. MIOT‐based methods for deriving the end‐use share matrix D and their characteristics. For literature studies that apply the four methods please see Table Table 1 and Section 2.2 . Dark orange yes = criterion applies, light orange potentially = criterion can potentially be applied, but few studies do (see Table Table 1 ) Open in a new tab Comments: can also be considered as change of *The input‐side system boundaries of the industry system (partitioning the A matrix for WIO‐MFA and Ghosh‐IO AMC, or using different kinds of satellites assigned to different MIOT sectors). **The inter‐industry system boundaries. ***The output‐side system boundaries (either cut off where physical flows end and service flows start, or applying different vectors of final demand). ǂ See Supporting Information 1b for further explanation. ⊗ No reverse flows of products (p) to materials (m)—see Section 2.2.1 for details. The most prominent distinction of the four methods can be drawn between CBA, WIO‐MFA, and Ghosh‐IO AMC, which use full input–output models corresponding to either the input–output market or industry balance; and the partial Ghosh‐IO which only uses the MIOT inter‐industry matrix Z and represents a partial IO‐model not fulfilling any IO balance (see I and II Table 2 ; Supporting Information S1, section S1b). Within the first group, the individual methods of CBA, WIO‐MFA, and Ghosh‐IO AMC in turn, correspond to fundamentally different underlying IO‐models: the Leontief quantity (CBA), Leontief price (WIO‐MFA), and Ghosh quantity (Ghosh‐IO AMC) model (for detailed explanation see Supporting Information S1, section S1b). Despite these different models, the three methods yield the exact same end‐use share matrix D , if applied at scale, i.e., to fully quantified MIOT systems, and with no or equivalent manipulation of MIOT data as specified in Table 2 III–IX (for proof see subsections 6 and 7 of Supporting Information S1, section S 1b ). Discrepancies between the end‐use shares D of CBA, WIO‐MFA, and Ghosh‐IO AMC can thus be attributed solely to the differences in manipulation of MIOT data, like the mass filtering of flows. Below, we discuss the differences and similarities that arise from (non)‐manipulation of monetary data for all four MIOT‐based methods identified from the literature: First, the reviewed methods apply different definitions of material end‐uses (or in AMC language: the absorbing state). While for partial Ghosh‐IO the practitioner defines the absorbing state by selecting products in the inter‐industry matrix (Aryapratama & Pauliuk, 2019 ; Cao, Shen, Liu, et al., 2017 ), all other methods refer to the final demand matrix/vector from MIOTs. For partial Ghosh‐IO, the transition of intermediate products to an absorbing, end‐use state is not dependent on values in the matrix of final demand, but selected products in intermediate demand are assumed to directly reflect end‐use and 100% of related materials being delivered to this category (see Section 2.2 ). For MIOTs with high product resolution, products might be identifiable as either intermediate or end‐use. However, most often MIOT products represent a product mix, which is supplied to both intermediate and final demand (e.g., electric machinery as input to the automotive industry and investment in a fixed asset). Thus, if misclassification occurs, the supply chain is either artificially elongated (misclassified as intermediate use) and all material distributed downstream, or cut off (misclassified as end‐use) and all material considered as end‐use. Thereby, this method is particularly sensitive to a practitioner's decision. 13 All remaining methods make use of final demand data to define the share of the absorbing states in total industry output. In MIOTs, final demand consists of different categories, including “consumption” and “gross fixed capital formation” (GFCF, see Figure 2 ). For GFCF, the “ asset boundary for fixed assets consists of goods and services that are used in production for more than one year” (United Nations, 2009 : 10.33) and thus matches with the definition of material stocks in dMFA research (Fischer‐Kowalski et al., 2011 ). Expenditures on consumer durables (e.g., washing machines and small tools) are accounted for under consumption expenditures. Some expenditure on goods (e.g., a car) might be defined as either GFCF or another category of final demand, depending on whether they are for private or commercial use (United Nations, 2009 : 10.34, 10.35, 10.41). Different studies use varying categories of final demand as absorbing state, the use of a particular sort of these data not tied to one particular of the methods reviewed herein. Most of the reviewed studies use the sum of all final demand accounts from MIOTs as absorbing state, while some only use data on GFCF, sometimes from sources other than MIOTs (Chen, 2017 ; Chen & Graedel, 2015 ). Kondo et al. ( 2012 ) and Yokoi et al. ( 2022 ) use a breakdown of GFCF into the “investment matrix” (Pauliuk et al., 2015 ), which not only distinguishes investments into products but also the industry sector where the investment occurs, thus allowing conclusion about which industry uses the end‐use products (Table 2 IX, see Supporting Information S1, section S1a). 14 Additionally, GFCF endogenization was discussed in the literature, however, it is unsuited for calculation of end‐use shares (see footnote 8 and Section 2.2.2 ). From above definitions, we see that only using GFCF neglects material stocks accumulating in “consumption” of households and governments (might depend on national GFCF definitions). In summary, we propose that, when determining the end‐uses within a region, all final demand accounts referring to use within the respective region and time should be used. That is including accounts for both “consumption” and GFCF, while excluding accounts for exports and inventory changes. 15 Second, some methods calculate embodied materials (“raw material equivalents” or “material footprints”), while others aim to track material flows at their actual mass by following dMFA principles. CBA calculates material footprints by assigning material use to MIOT sectors and linking them to final demand through monetary inter‐sectoral transactions that are partially also non‐physical and waste (e.g., service‐flows and processing waste, see Section 2.2 ). When accounting for material end‐use shares, however, one is interested in a final product's actual mass. Thus, following a mass‐balanced MFA perspective like WIO‐MFA, through locating resources/materials outside of the industry system (III), as well as the introduction of mass and yield filters (IV and V), is superior to CBA. 16 This applies in particular, if supply‐extensions of raw materials are used instead of use‐extensions of engineering materials (VII; Owen et al., 2017 ; Wieland et al., 2020 ). The two Ghosh model methods can calculate either footprints or actual mass, depending on the definition of materials and products (e.g., service transactions included as “products” or not) and application of filter matrices (not mentioned in the original studies). However, also the methods that aim to track actual mass come with their own challenges in manipulating MIOT data (see Equations 2 , 7 , and 11 ). When defining different degrees of fabrication, for example, materials, intermediate, and consumption products, as well as filter matrices that exclude non‐physical and waste flows (WIO‐MFA), monetary transactions need to be deleted from the MIOT, which influences the resulting end‐use shares. The definition of filter matrices requires expert knowledge and is to some degree up to assumptions (e.g., when is a transaction non‐physical). Specifically, the decision on excluding transactions with service sectors (see compartment in Figure 2 ), that is, whether to only filter service sector outputs (non‐physical assumption likely) or also service‐sector inputs (non‐physical assumption precarious), can give wrong results, for example, when large material flows to service sectors like repair are ignored (Streeck et al., 2022 ). Additionally, filter matrix compilation can be tedious and filters are hardly available in published works, which complicates comparing different studies. Making these filters available through more transparent publication would benefit re‐use, open, and cumulative science. Third, the MIOT system boundaries present a challenge for tracking material use to particular end‐use products. The functionality of products that are end‐use products in the sense of dMFA, but are intermediate products in the definition of MIOTs (e.g., packaging), is lost during the calculation of the Ghosh/Leontief inverse (e.g., plastic in computer packaging identified as plastic in a computer; see Section 2.1.1 in Streeck et al., 2022 ). This problem applies to all reviewed methods except for the partial Ghosh‐IO, where end‐uses are defined by the practitioner (see point (1) above). In theory, the correct end‐use can be re‐identified via secondary calculations. Nakamura et al. ( 2007 ), Yokoi et al. ( 2018 , Section 2.1.4), Dietzenbacher et al. ( 2019 ), and Hertwich ( 2021 ) propose distinct methods to calculate materials in a final product's sub‐components (e.g., to determine product packaging). However, to our knowledge none of these methods is capable of doing that without facing issues of double counting. Nakamura et al. ( 2007 ) propose an approach similar to production layer decomposition (Wieland et al., 2018 ) for WIO‐MFA, in which supply‐chain layers are decomposed one supply‐chain step at a time. Dietzenbacher et al. ( 2019 ) and Hertwich ( 2021 ) propose different variations of the hypothetical extraction method (HEM) to the Leontief quantity model, in which the effect of one product/sector is evaluated by comparing a counterfactual in which this sector is removed from the unperturbed system. Yokoi et al. ( 2018 ) propose an approach similar to HEM for WIO‐MFA. However, unless the inter‐industry matrix is perfectly directional (triangular, which requires assumptions, Nakamura et al., 2007 ), all of these approaches lead to double counting if one subsequently wants to decompose into individual sectors/products. Hertwich ( 2021 ) corrected for double counting in a downstream step through identifying the amount of environmental burden that is allocated more than once, using a decomposition approach inspired by footprint studies that aim to resolve, that is, avoid, double counting in footprints (Cabernard et al., 2019 ; Dente et al., 2018 ). In theory, above methods could be applied to re‐identify end‐use functionality for selected products. However they exclude certain sector interactions to avoid double counting. Further developing these methods toward tracing material flows into sub‐components of end‐use products without exclusion of sector interactions, thus yielding a three‐dimensional array version of the end‐use share matrix D , would be an interesting next step. In the empirical part 2 of this review (Streeck et al., 2022 ), we take a pragmatic stance and propose a simple method to re‐define selected intermediate products such as packaging as end‐use. We achieve this by altering the system boundaries of the MIOT industry system toward the output side and call the approach “End‐Use Transfer”. Fourth, most of the studies that used above methods suffer from the price homogeneity assumption inherent to MIOTs, which assumes that the individual products contained in the aggregate product mix delivered by a sector have the same unit price (Weisz & Duchin, 2006 ). This introduces bias, when prices of individual products in the mix differ substantially (see footnote 4 for potential reasons). In the studies of Chen and Graedel ( 2015 ) and Chen ( 2017 ) on aluminum products in the United States, that does not seem to be a large issue, as supposed by the good fit of WIO‐MFA results with results of other estimation methods. However, for materials like steel, which strongly differ in quality and price (e.g., for automotive versus construction steel), this might be more important. 17 Principally there are two ways to tackle above assumption: first by disaggregating sectors in the MIOT (Nakajima et al., 2013 ; Ohno et al., 2015 ); and second by using transaction‐specific prices (Table 2 VIII) for the output of sector i to different sectors j . The latter was done in Yokoi et al. (2018, 2022 ), which are the only studies we found that applied this approach. However, the scarcity of price data for different material applications, which additionally matches the product average assumed for MIOT's sector output product mixes, are major limitations for wider application. Fifth, the reviewed methods differ regarding ease of use and required IOA proficiency. Partial Ghosh‐IO can be implemented without detailed knowledge of IAO (as done in Aryapratama & Pauliuk, 2019 ; Cao et al., 2017 ). However this method is very sensitive to practitioner decisions (see point (1) above). All other methods require at least basic IOA operations. From these, CBA is the easiest and most efficient method to apply, but is problematic for calculating end‐uses due to its consumption‐based footprint perspective. WIO‐MFA closely follows a physical dMFA logic, but is comparatively complex and data intensive, which can represent an entry barrier. However, this point might partially be resolved by making available WIO‐MFA filter matrices and underlying code scripts via platforms like Zenodo and Github. There are several additional points to consider when applying the different methods, like choosing the MIOT sectors corresponding to “materials”, the exact design of filter matrices and so on, which will be discussed in the comparative application of methods in part 2 of this review (Streeck et al., 2022 ). CONCLUSIONS AND NEXT STEPS The use of MIOTs to derive end‐use shares can help overcome limited data availability in physical units. The reviewed methods can be applied to any MIOT, for which the widely used waste input–output approach to (d)MFA theoretically leads to the most accurate end‐use shares by applying corrections to align MIOTs with dMFA system boundaries. We showed that improvements in accuracy of end‐use shares arise from the alignment of system boundaries between MIOTs and dMFA, and not from different underlying input–output models (Section 3.2 ). Beyond theoretical considerations, we see the need to empirically compare end‐use shares derived from MRIOs, national MIOTs, and physical unit industry shipments, to assess the accuracy and robustness of results from these data sources. To that end, in part 2 of this review, we apply the methods presented here to investigate and improve upon the theoretical drawbacks (Streeck et al., 2022 ). In addition, the wide use of end‐use shares in dMFA warrants further comparison and validation efforts with independently obtained estimates, for example, from bottom‐up dMFA. This review described some of the potentials and drawbacks that come with using monetary proxy data to model physical flows. To enable more accurate assessment of production and consumption, resource efficiency, the circular economy, or integrated modeling of monetary and physical capital, we require a political process that pushes stakeholders and statistical agencies to compile more information on material end‐uses in physical units, and to make these data publicly available. Ideally, such a process would enable the compilation of purely physical IOTs, independent accounts of materials in product stocks, and their integration with dMFA to comprehensively represent the stocks and flows of the biophysical basis of society, including information on end‐use products. Supplementary Information 44498_2023_2702005_MOESM1_ESM.docx (441.9KB, docx) Supporting information S1 : This supporting information provides potential additional configurations of methods to trace material flows into products, using monetary input‐output tables (MIOTs) in section S1a; as well as seminal documentation of methods, including formal proof of equivalence of underlying input‐output models in section S1b. 44498_2023_2702005_MOESM2_ESM.xlsx (43KB, xlsx) Supporting information S2 : This supporting information provides examples corresponding to the documentation of methods' underlying input‐output models in Supporting Information S1, section S1b. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank André Baumgart for his help with initial appraisal of the literature and three anonymous reviewers for their constructive and helpful comments. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS Jan Streeck : Conceptualization, investigation, formal analysis, visualization, writing—original draft, review, and editing. Stefan Pauliuk : Formal analysis, supervision, writing—original draft, review, and editing. Hanspeter Wieland : Supervision, writing—review and editing. Dominik Wiedenhofer : Conceptualization, supervision, writing—review and editing, project administration. DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT The data that supports the findings of this study are available in the supporting information of this article. CONFLICT OF INTEREST The authors declare no conflict of interest. Footnotes 1 Option 2 is sector‐level physical flow data (Figure 1 , identifier 2), for which end‐use is identified by the destination of the destined manufacturing sector or market (e.g., tons crude steel shipped to automotive). Later, we call these “industry shipments” as data source to inform end‐use shares. Option 3 is product‐level flow data (Figure 1 , identifier 3) which directly report the sale of specific products in either physical (e.g., number of cars sold) or monetary units (e.g., value of cars sold) for which material use is inferred via material intensities. 2 We also identified one study that uses the physical‐monetary hybrid unit input‐output database EXIOBASE v3.3 instead of its purely monetary version to allocate an extension of material gross additions to stock (GAS) to industry and final demand sectors (Aguilar‐Hernandez et al., 2021 ). The extension was constructed via mass‐balancing resource use and waste accounts (Merciai & Schmidt, 2018 ). While the extension allows to determine the GAS used in an industry sectors’ products, it cannot directly discern the products that contain GAS in final demand and therefore cannot comprehensively allocate material use to end‐use products (final products). Additionally, the construction of the extensions is difficult to repeat, related quality of waste data is problematic (Tisserant et al., 2017 ), and mixed‐unit tables are so far only available for a single year. For these reasons we decided to not list this approach as additional data source to derive end‐use shares. 3 Some studies take additional steps to improve the quality of industry shipment data or fit additional data to their purpose. For instance, as mentioned above, Pauliuk et al. ( 2013 ) optimized limited information on end‐use shares against scrap market balances. Spatari et al. ( 2005 ) consulted with industry and academic experts. Daigo et al. ( 2007 ) and Hatayama et al. ( 2010 ) refined end‐use resolution by splitting Japanese steel industry shipments for “automobiles,” into “trucks” and “passenger vehicles,” through the assumption of a 2:1 weight ratio derived from the Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association ( 2000 ) and the Road Transport Bureau Ministry of Land Infrastructure and Transport ( 1958–2001 ); or by splitting steel industry shipments for 42 countries to the end‐use “construction” into “civil engineering” and “buildings”, based on the relationship of the two end‐uses with population density for Japanese prefectures. 4 In reality, prices vary by seller–buyer relationships, commodity type, and geography, the aggregation of which can lead to biased estimation of environmental burden (Jakobs et al. 2021 ). In MRIOs, currency conversion (see, e.g., Stadler et al., 2018 ) and relative price levels among countries can lead to additional over‐ or underestimation of environmental burden, if prices deviate from the homogenous sector average. Furthermore, MIOTs represent a model in which primary data collected through national accounting first need to be compiled into supply–use tables and/or balanced MIOTs, with a number of underlying assumptions and resulting caveats, for example, limited sector resolution due to reasons of confidentiality (Eurostat, 2008 ; Miller & Blair 2009 ; United Nations 2009 ). Also the import proportionality assumption for trade flows into individual industrial sectors (Schulte et al., 2021 ), and, in the case of single‐regional MIOTs, the domestic technology assumption apply (Bouwmeester & Oosterhaven, 2013 ; Lenzen et al., 2004 ). 5 In how far “service” sectors can also be classified as “products” and thus have non‐zero sector in/outputs is discussed in Section 3.2 . 6 Building upon WIO‐MFA, also problems other than end‐use shares can be tackled, for example, by relating the flows of materials in MIOTs to a product unit, similar to the functional unit in life cycle assessment (UPIOM, unit physical input‐output by materials; Nakamura et al. ( 2011 )), using WIO‐MFA for linear optimization of vehicle recycling (Ohno, Matsubae, et al. ( 2017 )), and for tracing material flows through supply chain networks (Chen et al., 2016 ; Nuss et al., 2019 ; Ohno et al., 2016 ). 7 An example would be monetary transactions recorded between “physical materials” (e.g., cement) to a non‐physical service (e.g., government services), which in turn delivers a service transaction to another physical end‐use product (e.g., a house). Through the physical extension in CBA, the service‐input “government services” to the “house” would then be associated with a physical “cement” flow and thus add to the footprint of the “house,” although the service‐transaction does not contain a physical flow in reality. 8 As extension to CBA, the endogenization of capital flows into footprints of final consumption, that is, the treatment of capital goods not as final demand but as intermediate inputs to production, has been discussed in the literature and applied for materials (Miller et al., 2019 ; Södersten et al., 2018 ). This method was termed “capital‐augmented material footprints” (Södersten et al., 2020 ) and allocates resource use embodied in capital goods used by industry (e.g., machinery and buildings), to the respective industry output to final consumption. The system boundaries of this method are not suited to determine material end‐uses in actual mass, because in addition to the embodied perspective of CBA, it allocates materials embodied in the endogenized capital goods downstream to goods and services for final consumption (i.e., gross fixed capital formation “gfcf” allocated to consumption of households “hh” and government “gov” in Figure 2 ). 9 Consider, for example, the flows of indium and iron trough the MIOT. Indium quickly changes form and becomes part of electronics and other manufactured goods, so that the MIOT has no accurate data on the whereabouts of indium, but uses proxy data on the whereabouts of electronics to trace the estimate use shares of indium. For iron, which mostly ends up in steel, the situation is different, since steel is a separate product category in most MIOTs (sometimes even several downstream processing forms of iron distinguished), and the table data thus more accurately reflects whereabouts and average material intensities. 10 Additionally, while national MIOTs follow internationally harmonized principles (United Nations, 2009 ), national specificities apply, regarding national statistical efforts and procedures in data gathering and aggregation as well as estimation procedures, nationally specific decisions for sectoral (dis)aggregation (e.g., confidentiality and/or national interests), or issues of ownership (e.g., state‐owned housing vs. privately owned buildings means that substantial final demand is either part of households, or government expenditures). Available MRIOs try to reconcile national definitions, data gaps, as well as often mismatching and conflicting data using various techniques (Tukker et al., 2018 ). 11 To identify the physical material flows into activities , the material deliveries to these accounts would require re‐routing to using industries via the use of capital flow/investment matrices (Lenzen & Treloar, 2005 ; Pauliuk et al., 2015 ), which could happen in a particular configuration of capital‐augmented material flow tracing (in contrast to capital‐augmented footprints; Södersten et al., 2020 ). 12 Following SNA definitions, one would however expect that the majority of flows in intermediate demand are either used up or transformed and contained in a sectors output. Yokoi et al. ( 2018 ) documented an attempt to tackle this problem (see Section 2.2 ): by referring to the Japanese MIOT definition of fixed capital assets in final demand (unit price > 100,000 Yen and durability of over 1 year), the authors used the purchaser unit prices for products to identify the transactions not meeting these criteria and labeled them as accumulating within sectors of intermediate demand. For accumulations in intermediate demand, one cannot always be sure in which product the flow ends up, thus corresponding to an activity perspective (e.g., cement as GAS to agricultural industry). 13 In support of their categorization of intermediate and end‐use products, Aryapratama and Pauliuk ( 2019 ) take the ratio of intermediate versus final demand, thus somewhat reducing this bias. The exclusion of final demand in partial Ghosh‐IO also impedes the method‐immanent inclusion of imports and exports of final end‐use products (which are reported in the final demand matrix). 14 However, despite few data sources like EU KLEMS (O'Mahony & Timmer, 2009 ), data on investment matrices is scarce, low in resolution, and lacking details on investments for build up and maintenance versus demolishment (Pauliuk et al., 2015 ; Södersten et al., 2020 ). 15 Also the use of all compartments of MIOT final demand might cause problems: Nakamura et al. ( 2014 ) describe that through the vector of exports and inventory changes, also intermediate products are reported in final demand. The authors use a type of output coefficient matrix of the Ghosh model (similar to Equation 10 ) to allocate deliveries of intermediate to final products in a secondary calculation. To avoid the same problem for “materials,” the Ghosh‐IO AMC method prohibits flows of materials to final demand by partitioning the latter (VI, Equation 7 ). 16 Nakamura et al. ( 2009 ) compared the material mass of iron, aluminum, and polyvinyl chloride in a Japanese passenger car for the year 2000 via CBA and WIO‐MFA with data from JAMA ( 2003 ) for 1997/2001. They found that CBA overestimated material content by 18‐47% while WIO‐MFA was fairly close to JAMA data (2–6% deviation). 17 For example, high value steel alloys have a high value but relatively low mass flow and hence, the estimation of end‐use shares with a monetary table will overestimate the physical end‐use share of sectors that consume a lot of high value steel alloys. This problem becomes smaller if sectors are more disaggregated and less price inhomogeneity occurs. Editor Managing Review: Richard Wood Funding information : The work of Jan Streeck and Dominik Wiedenhofer was supported by the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (MAT_STOCKS, grant agreement No 741950) and by the European Union's Horizon Europe programme (CircEUlar, grant agreement No 101056810). The work of Jan Streeck was furthermore supported by the Austrian Federal Ministry of Education, Science and Research (Marietta Blau Grant MPC‐2021‐00143), which was managed by the OeAD‐GmbH. The work of Hanspeter Wieland was funded by the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (FINEPRINT project, grant agreement No. 725525). Streeck, J., Pauliuk, S., Wieland, H., & Wiedenhofer, D. (2023). 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Supplementary Materials 44498_2023_2702005_MOESM1_ESM.docx (441.9KB, docx) Supporting information S1 : This supporting information provides potential additional configurations of methods to trace material flows into products, using monetary input‐output tables (MIOTs) in section S1a; as well as seminal documentation of methods, including formal proof of equivalence of underlying input‐output models in section S1b. 44498_2023_2702005_MOESM2_ESM.xlsx (43KB, xlsx) Supporting information S2 : This supporting information provides examples corresponding to the documentation of methods' underlying input‐output models in Supporting Information S1, section S1b. Data Availability Statement The data that supports the findings of this study are available in the supporting information of this article. 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