The Systemic Path to Mitigating U.S.–China Conflict: A Political, Economic, and Military Analytical Framework Based on the Lao-Yang Genesis Cosmology

The greatest global risk facing the twenty-first century is the transformation of strategic competition between the United States and China from economic rivalry into political confrontation, technological decoupling, and even military conflict. Traditional theories such as realism, liberalism, and hegemonic stability theory are no longer capable of fundamentally explaining or resolving current structural tensions, because their logic remains rooted in the industrial civilization assumptions of “state-centrism” and “expansion-driven development.” This paper seeks to transcend the traditional geopolitical perspective by introducing the Lao-Yang Genesis Cosmology as a new systemic analytical framework. It argues that the essence of U.S.–China conflict is not merely an ideological struggle, but rather a structural imbalance emerging from the evolution of industrial civilization into a high-entropy stage. The paper first analyzes the limitations of hegemonic civilization under industrial modernity: the United States, due to excessive financialization, has experienced deindustrialization and social fragmentation, while the enormous maintenance costs of global military expansion have generated deep hegemonic anxiety. China, meanwhile, despite possessing strong state capacity and a powerful manufacturing system, also faces resource bottlenecks and systemic balancing challenges inherent within industrial logic. Based on the generative sequence embedded in the Lao-Yang Genesis Cosmology — “Humanity follows Earth; Earth follows Heaven; Heaven follows Dao; Dao follows Nature” — this paper proposes the necessity of transitioning from hegemonic civilization toward a Generative Civilization. Within this framework, power is no longer understood as a vector of infinite expansion, but rather as the dynamic balancing potential within a system. The paper innovatively proposes: 1. At the political level: recognizing the “naturalness” of multipolarity and shifting from an order of conquest toward an order of cooperation; 2. At the economic level: transcending the model of infinite growth and establishing a “generative economic structure” under ecological and systemic constraints; 3. At the technological level: transforming AI from a mere force multiplier into Artificial Wisdom (AW) as a systemic resonator capable of constraining human greed; 4. At the military level: establishing a “Generative Security Paradigm,” in which security arises not from suppressing others, but from reducing the entropy of the overall system. The conclusion argues that U.S.–China competition is not a historical accident, but the product of industrial civilization reaching systemic limits. Humanity’s highest wisdom lies not in destroying rivals, but in maintaining systemic stability within the cosmic chain of generative existence. Moving from geopolitics toward a “planetary civilization,” and realizing coexistence between the United States and China through “generative equilibrium,” constitutes the only viable path for mitigating conflict and sustaining human civilization.