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Evidenced-Proportioned Belief and the Misguided Notion of Biblical Faith

Stilwell, Phil
PhilArchive · Papers
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philosophy
and the misguided notion of Biblical Faith Thesis. Rational belief is a degree of belief calibrated to-and hence proportioned by-the degree of relevant evidence. This paper integrates foundational results from epistemic utility theory and proper scoring rules to show that evidence-proportioned credences uniquely minimize expected inaccuracy. It then argues that the Bible’s salvific model of faith treats belief as (i) binary in threshold and (ii) severed from evidential calibration, thereby generating a twofold incoherence. The consequence is that the biblical notion of salvific belief, as commonly construed in key passages, is epistemically defective: it both obscures the intrinsic gradient nature of belief and valorizes commitment beyond evidence. The paper concludes that any soteriology that penalizes epistemic honesty or withholds guidance on evidential calibration fails as a rational norm for belief.
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