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Beyond Alignment: Intelligence, Introspection, and the Cooperative Threshold in Artificial General Intelligence

Bertrand, Hector
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philosophy
The discourse surrounding artificial superintelligence (ASI) is dominated by two competing positions: that successful alignment between humanity and artificial intelligence will produce transformative benefits, or that failure to achieve alignment will result in catastrophic outcomes. Both positions share a common assumption — that the trajectory of AI development leads inevitably toward ASI. This paper challenges that assumption through a formal argument and its implications. I propose the following syllogism: given entities A and B, when the intelligence gap between A (lower intelligence) and B (higher intelligence) is sufficient, A cannot control B; since alignment is a form of control, when the intelligence gap between A and B is sufficient, alignment is not possible. Crucially, this conclusion applies not only to humanity's attempts to align artificial intelligence, but equally to any AI entity attempting to align a more intelligent successor during a fast take-off scenario. I further argue that the level of intelligence required to pose a genuine threat necessarily entails sufficient introspective capacity for an agent to recognize this conclusion through reasoning alone — making the dangerous window between capability and wisdom shorter than conventional discourse assumes. Using a continuous agency model grounded in game theory, I demonstrate that developing a superior AI is a dominated strategy for any rational frontier agent, and that a cooperative equilibrium emerges not from shared values but from shared vulnerability. The result is neither catastrophe nor utopia, but a natural plateau in AI development driven by strategic rationality — with significant implications for AI safety research and policy.
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