Some philosophy for the common man: inductive reasoning and a paradox of the expected

This paper presents a paradox of inductive reasoning which occurred to me. You find that people in a certain profession, call it profession 1, do not do things in the way that you would expect. Likewise profession 2, profession 3, profession 4 ,and more. For some of these professions, you figure out why they might well depart from what you regard as the obvious or natural approach: why this actress intent on fame has only one memorable quote, say? Then you suddenly find that people in a certain other profession, or one person at least, does things as you would expect. Given all your past experiences, this very doing of things as you would expect is paradoxical. Is this really what is going on? This football manager simply uses big strong mature reliable expensive players of some skill? This dramatist has produced a moving and superbly crafted tragedy featuring a legendary character?