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Classical Probability, Shakespearean Sonnets, and Multiverse Hypotheses

Goetz, James · 2006
PhilArchive · Papers · 2006
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philosophy
We evaluate classical probability in relation to the random generation of a Shakespearean sonnet by a typing monkey and the random generation of universes in a World Ensemble based on various multiverse models involving eternal inflation. We calculate that it would take a monkey roughly 10^942 years to type a Shakespearean sonnet, which pushes the scenario into a World Ensemble. The evaluation of a World Ensemble based on various models of eternal inflation suggests that there is no middle ground between eternal Poincare-Zermelo recurrence and a 0 probability in regards to the natural generation of the initial conditions of the universe.
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