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Reflection, Conditionalization and Indeterminacy about the Future

Shaffer, Michael J. · 2014
PhilArchive · Papers · 2014
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philosophy
This paper shows that any view of future contingent claims that treats such claims as having indeterminate truth values or as simply being false implies probabilistic irrationality. This is because such views of the future imply violations of reflection, special reflection and conditionalization.
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