Conceptio › Archive › Stack Exchange
Stack Exchange open access CC BY-SA

Is $R^2$ useful or dangerous?

raegtin · 2011
Stack Exchange · Datasets · License: CC BY-SA · 2011
Open Source ↗
regression
I was skimming through some lecture notes by Cosma Shalizi (in particular, section 2.1.1 of the second lecture ), and was reminded that you can get very low $R^2$ even when you have a completely linear model. To paraphrase Shalizi's example: suppose you have a model $Y = aX + \epsilon$, where $a$ is known. Then $\newcommand{\Var}{\mathrm{Var}}\Var[Y] = a^2 \Var[x] + \Var[\epsilon]$ and the amount of explained variance is $a^2 \Var[X]$, so $R^2 = \frac{a^2 \Var[x]}{a^2 \Var[X] + \Var[\epsilon]}$. This goes to 0 as $\Var[X] \rightarrow 0$ and to 1 as $\Var[X] \rightarrow \infty$. Conversely, you can get high $R^2$ even when your model is noticeably non-linear. (Anyone have a good example offhand?) So when is $R^2$ a useful statistic, and when should it be ignored?
Conceptio Open Archive

Analyze & explore related research in Conceptio

Connect this record directly into your research workflow or AI agent. Explore citations across open repositories, query full text, and export structured proof bundles.

This document is indexed with metadata only: full text is not available in the archive for this record. Open the official source ↗

Related documents

Record · ID 787272
Retrieved via Conceptio: every document is proof-bundled with source, license, and retrieval metadata.
Bring this data into your agent: Connect via MCP or API · 20 free credits to start · no card required
Read the Docs → · View CLI source on GitHub · Conceptio Open Knowledge Archive