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Summoning the Oracle to Slay It: Mitigating Look-Ahead Bias in Financial Backtesting with Large Language Models

Li, Weixian Waylon et al.
arXiv (OAI Expanded) · Papers
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and-scienceartificial-intelligencecomputational-engineeringfinancemachine-learning
Backtesting large language models (LLMs) on historical financial data is unreliable when their pre-training data include the evaluated events. An LLM trained in 2024 may already encode how stocks moved during 2018-2020. We name this failure parametric look-ahead bias and propose FinCAD, an inference
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