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To Determine the Predictors of Reversibility for Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure at 6-months.
ACLF is defined differently in APASL,EASL and AASLD.APASL talks of reversibility in ACLF as per its definition and constitution of Homogenous population with ACLF.The definition of ACLF as per APASL is an acute hepatic insult manifesting as jaundice (serum bilirubin ≥ 5 mg/dL (85 micromol/L) and coagulopathy (INR ≥ 1.5 or prothrombin activity \<40%) complicated within 4 weeks by clinical ascites and/or encephalopathy in a patient with previously diagnosed or undiagnosed chronic liver disease/cirrhosis, and is associated with a high 28-day mortality .From the point of view of intensivists, events in form of organ dysfunction , failure or mortality would cumulatively effect the outcome.Reversibility of ACLF syndrome is a feature of the ACLF defined by the AARC criteria, as nearly all the patients included are after the index presentation.With mitigation of the acute insult and over time, the hepatic reserve improves ,fibrosis regresses and the portal pressure decreases. Further, unlike patients with decompensated cirrhosis and similar to patients with ALF, the reversal of coagulopathy preceded the reversal of jaundice,that is ,median time to reversal of syndrome, i.e jaundice and coagulopathy was 7 (4-30)days versus 19 (7-60)days for jaundice, respectively. The median time for reversal of syndrome, i.e, jaundice and coagulopathy ,was 30 days. Baseline albumin, AARC score and Transient elastography predicted long term reversibility .The disease severity assessment is needed for prognostication and to guide the therapy. Furthermore,the available prediction scores have been validated at baseline,but none has been evaluated in a dynamic manner for prognostication in ACLF patients.A DYNAMIC Model that could predict the reversibility in ACLF is urgently required.
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