Quantification of Systemic Congestion by Ultrasound As a Predictor of Weaning Failure From Mechanical Ventilation

Mechanical ventilation is an essential, life-saving therapy in the ICU, allowing critically ill patients to rest and recover. Transitioning patients back to spontaneous breathing-known as weaning-is clinically challenging. The first attempt, the Spontaneous Breathing Trial (SBT), fails in 10-30% of cases. Identifying the mechanisms behind failure is crucial, as unsuccessful weaning prolongs ICU stay and increases the risk of reintubation, which worsens prognosis. The SCOUT study aims to improve prediction and management of weaning failure. The main objective of the study is to evaluate whether a specific ultrasound-based method, the Venous Excess Ultrasound Score (VExUS), can predict failure of weaning from mechanical ventilation. A key pathophysiological factor is systemic venous congestion. When a patient initiates an SBT, the increased respiratory effort shifts venous return and may precipitate cardiovascular decompensation with pulmonary fluid accumulation, termed weaning-induced pulmonary edema (WIPO). Notably, this may occur even in patients without known cardiac disease. Detecting clinically relevant congestion before SBT is difficult. Fluid balance and body weight are imprecise, physical examination lacks sensitivity, and biomarkers such as NT-proBNP have limited predictive capacity. VExUS offers a promising, non-invasive approach by directly assessing venous flow patterns in major veins (inferior vena cava, hepatic, portal, and renal veins), providing an estimation of systemic venous pressure and congestion. The central hypothesis is that elevated VExUS grades prior to SBT will identify patients at high risk of failure, enabling proactive optimization and potentially improving outcomes. SCOUT is designed as a prospective, multicenter, observational study. Standard clinical management of mechanical ventilation and weaning remains unchanged. After informed consent, baseline data will be obtained immediately before SBT, including vital signs, ventilator par