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A Strictly Proper Scoring-Rule Theory for Calibrating Stochastic Car-Following Models

Zhou, Shirui et al.
arXiv (All) · Papers
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methodologyphysics-and-society
Problem definition: Fixed parameters and inputs in a stochastic simulator induce a distribution over complete trajectories, not one trajectory. Calibration must assess this distribution, including variability and temporal dependence, against observations. Yet stochastic car-following models are comm
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