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Rollcast: Proper-Score Gated Rolling Anchors for Adaptive Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting

Vercellino, Giancarlo
arXiv (All) · Papers
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machine-learningmethodology
Rollcast is a probabilistic forecasting method for univariate time series that combines a compact set of rolling statistical anchors rather than relying on a single global model. Rolling means, medians, extrema, regression endpoints, and quantiles define candidate forecast locations and a representa
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