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Kuramoto Phase Synchronization in Regional Epidemic Dynamics: Two Test Cases from European COVID-19 and Influenza Surveillance

Bernal-Alvarado, Jose de Jesus et al.
arXiv (All) · Papers
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adaptation-and-self-organizing-systemsphysics-and-societypopulations-and-evolution
We test whether the Kuramoto model quantitatively describes spatial synchronization in regional epidemic waves, using daily COVID-19 incidence for 400 German \emph{Kreise} (2021--2023) and weekly ILI rates for 12 European countries (ECDC, 2021--2026). Bandpass filtering and Hilbert-transform phase e
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