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Proper Calibeating

Foster, Dean P. et al.
arXiv (OAI Expanded) · Papers
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computer-science-and-game-theorymachine-learningtheoretical-economics
The classic concept of "calibrated forecasts" and its more recent refinement, "calibeating," are defined with respect to the standard quadratic scoring rule. We extend these notions to the class of proper scoring rules (for which the true distribution is an optimal forecast) and define \textit{prope
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