Developing a Physiology-Pharmacodynamic Model of Rocuronium Dose and Cardiac Output to Investigate the Onset Time of Neuromuscular Relaxation

After a patient is put to sleep, a breathing tube is often placed through the larynx (voice box) into the trachea (windpipe). To place a breathing tube requires the muscles of the jaw, voice box, and diaphragm to be relaxed. This relaxation is usually done with muscle relaxant drugs and called paralysis. Which paralysis drug and what dose should be used has been the subject of many studies. In certain situations it is important for the patient to be fully paralysed before being intubated. Trying to intubate a partially paralysed person may result in coughing that could spread aerosols (e.g. COVID-19), patient desaturation (dropping oxygen levels), greater physiological response to intubation (heart rate, blood pressure and intra-cranial pressure rises) as well as expose the patient to risk of harm through repeated intubation attempts. Current standard practice for patients needing critical care is to use the drug rocuronium at 1-1.2 mg/kg and wait 60 seconds for paralysis to occur. Unfortunately, 1.2mg/kg rocuronium often fails to provide good intubating conditions at 60s in some patients. The early studies revealed that 1 mg/kg rocuronium paralysis at 60s to be 'adequate' rather than 'excellent', as judged by those doing the intubation. One suggestion from 2000, was that a dose of 1.8 - 2.3 mg/kg rocuronium may be required to achieve 'excellent' intubating conditions at 60s in the vast majority of patients as is necessary clinically. The question of whether larger doses might be better has not been further investigated. One of the reasons that the paralysis does not seem to work as fast in some patients may be related to the speed with which the drug travels round the body, pumped around the circulation, to the muscles, by the heart. This speed of circulation called cardiac output can be measured in patients at the time of injection. It may be possible to create a mathematical model for onset of paralysis by combining the information cardiac output, patient size