Predicting Morbidity and Mortality in Elderly Surgical Patients

This proposed multicentre study builds on the findings of our recent validation of USEM and mCriSTAl predictive tools in a single centre at the Complejo Hospitalario de Navarra, whose results were recently published (https://europepmc.org/article/med/33111261). By expanding to a multicentre cohort and comparing to a third instrument, the investigators aim to examine the independent validity and generalizability of three scores and investigate potential for simplification of the prediction with anticipated greater accuracy. The ultimate goal is to determine whether these predictive tool can be used to assist surgical decision-making about older patients with expected poorer prognosis or high risk of death in the short term.