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The Global Unraveling
This paper examines why contemporary global instability cannot be understood through historical models of civilizational collapse. Earlier collapses occurred within regional systems that possessed external buffers, independent identities, and bounded information environments. Today’s world operates as a single coherence system, where orientation, boundaries, and information flow are planetary in scale. I argue that the primary vulnerability of the modern system is not material scarcity but the loss of shared meaning, shared boundaries, and shared information under conditions of global information density. This produces a form of decoherence that differs structurally from past failures. The analysis does not predict collapse; instead, it identifies the conditions under which global coordination becomes difficult to sustain and clarifies why local shocks propagate globally in a unified information environment.
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