Artificial Wisdom (AW): Bayesian Artificial Intelligence (AI) within Natural Civilization

This paper introduces the concept of Artificial Wisdom (AW), distinct from conventional Artificial Intelligence (AI). In a technological civilization heavily reliant on algorithms and predictive capabilities, AI often conflates mathematical coherence with epistemic legitimacy, generating potential civilizational risks. Drawing on the epistemology of Natural Civilization, which emphasizes a non-centered universe, generative order, and epistemic humility, AW is proposed as a civilizationally embedded and conditionally constrained cognitive system. The philosophical potential and risks of Bayesian inference within AW are examined, and design principles—including open priors, evidence diversity, error visibility, and systemic humility—are articulated to guide AI toward AW, thereby ensuring rational judgment compatible with sustainable civilization. Keywords: Artificial Wisdom (AW)、Bayesian Artificial Intelligence (Bayesian AI)、Natural Civilization、Epistemic Humility、Non-centered Universe、Generative Order、Conditional Cognition、Civilizationally Embedded System